经济联盟与引力模型:来自欧亚经济联盟的证据

R. Tumanyan
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引用次数: 4

摘要

本研究的目的是分析欧亚经济联盟(EEU)的贸易创造和贸易转移效应,这是区域贸易协定的演变。本研究将分析由关税同盟协议决定的欧亚经济联盟内部的贸易流动,并测试贸易创造和转移。本文将引力模型应用于欧亚经济联盟国家2005-2016年的年度双边出口流动,并以58个伙伴国为样本,采用面板年固定效应的增强引力模型,对欧亚经济联盟的贸易创造和转移效应进行了总体分析。结果与其他相同的研究相似,并表明欧亚经济联盟主要是贸易转移,贸易创造的影响很小。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Economic Unions and the Gravity Model: Evidence from Eurasian Economic Union
The purpose of this study is to analyze trade creation and trade diversion effects in the Eurasian Economic Union (EEU), which is an evolution of regional trade agreements. The research will analyze intra-block trade flows and test trade creation and diversion in EEU determined by customs union agreements. Gravity model has been applied to annual bilateral export flows for EEU countries paired with a sample of 58 partner countries in the period of 2005-2016, using augmented gravity model with panel year fixed effect, this paper analyzes trade creation and diversion effects of EEU in general. The results are similar to other identical studies and suggest that EEU is mostly trade-diverting with a minor effect of trade creation.
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