管理埃及空间系统的扭曲:当前的发展政策有成效吗?

Tarek Ragab
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摘要

摘要本研究回顾了埃及国家发展政策的最新趋势,其主要目标是缓解城市不受控制的增长强度和城市核心的人口集中,以及更好地整合国民经济子集。尽管试图在一个议程中协调这些目标,但该论文得出结论,埃及国家空间发展政策特有的主要问题仍然被危险地低估了。本文提出了一个问题,即当前的空间发展政策范式是否能够有效地管理埃及的空间系统失衡。通过政策分析寻求答案,其中包括使用双管齐下的方法,将当前采用的政策制定范式与戈尔和尼科尔森(1985)假设的基于事件的公共发展模型进行比较,并检查从1986年、1996年和2006年连续三次统计普查结果中提取的数据。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
MANAGING DISTORTIONS IN THE EGYPTIAN SPATIAL SYSTEM: DOES THE CURRENT DEVELOPMENT POLICY PAY OFF?
Abstract This research reviews the recent trend of the Egyptian national development policy of which major objectives are alleviating the intensity of untamed urban growth - and - population concentration in urban cores, and better integration of the national economy subsets. Despite attempts to reconcile these objectives in one agenda, the paper concludes that main issues endemic to the national spatial development policy in Egypt remain dangerously undervalued. The paper poses the question of whether the current spatial development policy paradigm can contribute effectively to managing the Egyptian spatial system imbalances. An answer was sought through policy analysis, which included the utilization of a two-pronged approach of comparing the currently adopted policy development paradigm to the Event-Based Public Development model postulated by Gore & Nicholson (1985), and the examination of data extracted from the three consecutive statistic census' results of years 1986, 1996, and 2006.
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