21世纪贸易保护主义的历史回顾

Nicolás Albertoni
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文的主要目标是通过分析21世纪的主要贸易政策里程碑,将当前的贸易政策辩论置于适当的历史背景下。它并不试图对贸易政策进行广泛的历史概述(其他学者已经做得很出色),而是分析导致多边贸易体系停滞和保护主义抬头的事件。本文从第二次世界大战以来贸易自由化的曲折之路开始,简要回顾了我们如何从布雷顿森林体系的早期阶段走到当前多边体系停滞不前、保护主义抬头的时刻。然后,本文转向四个关键事件来理解当前的新现实:2001年中国加入世界贸易组织(WTO), 2008年至2009年的全球金融危机(GFC),中美之间的贸易战,以及COVID-19大流行对贸易政策动态的影响。最后,对从历史角度理解当前贸易辩论的相关性进行了最后的评论。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A Historical Overview of the 21st-Century Protectionism
The main goal of this paper is to situate current trade policy debates in a proper historical context by analyzing the main trade policy milestones of the 21st-century. It does not attempt to offer an extensive historical overview of trade policy, which has been done masterfully by other scholars, but to analyze the events that have led to a stagnation of the multilateral trade system and rising protectionism. This paper begins with the winding road of trade liberalization since World War II, briefly tracing how we arrived from the early stages of the Bretton Wood System to the current moment of stagnation of the multilateral system and rising protectionism. It then turns to four key events to understand the current new reality: China’s accession to the World Trade Organization (WTO) in 2001, the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) of 2008 to 2009, the trade war between the United States and China, and the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic in trade policy dynamics. It concludes with some final comments on the relevance of understanding current trade debates from a historical perspective.
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