{"title":"《如何逃离马尔萨斯陷阱","authors":"J. Friedrichs","doi":"10.5040/9781350040946.CH-008","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"This chapter discusses ways of escaping Malthusian traps, showing how a framework taking the classical problem of overpopulation as its heuristic starting point can provide a key to contemporary problems and ways of dealing with them. Based on a concise model of the overpopulation trap, I discuss a variety of escape routes starting with the solutions and non-solutions suggested by Malthus (moral restraint, vice, and misery); followed by strategies of shifting the problem to subalterns and/or outsiders; and culminating in cornucopian solutions like exponential industrial growth and technical progress. Subsequently, I move to the neo-Malthusian challenges of the contemporary era, from climate change to energy scarcity. After a brief outline of the traps threatening the foundations of contemporary industrial civilization, I survey conceivable ways of dealing with them. In doing so, I revisit the escape routes discussed previously and ponder which of them, if any, may be available, eventually in a modified form, to deal with looming scenarios of neo-Malthusian crisis.","PeriodicalId":360262,"journal":{"name":"Scarcity in the Modern World","volume":"23 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"1900-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Escapology, or How to Escape Malthusian Traps\",\"authors\":\"J. Friedrichs\",\"doi\":\"10.5040/9781350040946.CH-008\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"This chapter discusses ways of escaping Malthusian traps, showing how a framework taking the classical problem of overpopulation as its heuristic starting point can provide a key to contemporary problems and ways of dealing with them. Based on a concise model of the overpopulation trap, I discuss a variety of escape routes starting with the solutions and non-solutions suggested by Malthus (moral restraint, vice, and misery); followed by strategies of shifting the problem to subalterns and/or outsiders; and culminating in cornucopian solutions like exponential industrial growth and technical progress. Subsequently, I move to the neo-Malthusian challenges of the contemporary era, from climate change to energy scarcity. After a brief outline of the traps threatening the foundations of contemporary industrial civilization, I survey conceivable ways of dealing with them. In doing so, I revisit the escape routes discussed previously and ponder which of them, if any, may be available, eventually in a modified form, to deal with looming scenarios of neo-Malthusian crisis.\",\"PeriodicalId\":360262,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Scarcity in the Modern World\",\"volume\":\"23 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"1900-01-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Scarcity in the Modern World\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.5040/9781350040946.CH-008\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Scarcity in the Modern World","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.5040/9781350040946.CH-008","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
This chapter discusses ways of escaping Malthusian traps, showing how a framework taking the classical problem of overpopulation as its heuristic starting point can provide a key to contemporary problems and ways of dealing with them. Based on a concise model of the overpopulation trap, I discuss a variety of escape routes starting with the solutions and non-solutions suggested by Malthus (moral restraint, vice, and misery); followed by strategies of shifting the problem to subalterns and/or outsiders; and culminating in cornucopian solutions like exponential industrial growth and technical progress. Subsequently, I move to the neo-Malthusian challenges of the contemporary era, from climate change to energy scarcity. After a brief outline of the traps threatening the foundations of contemporary industrial civilization, I survey conceivable ways of dealing with them. In doing so, I revisit the escape routes discussed previously and ponder which of them, if any, may be available, eventually in a modified form, to deal with looming scenarios of neo-Malthusian crisis.