1980-2017年尼日利亚宏观经济非均衡与教育发展

Gbadebo Salako, Adejumo Musibau Ojo, J. Francis
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摘要

本文对尼日利亚宏观经济失衡对教育发展的影响进行了实证研究。该研究使用了1980年至2017年的时间序列数据。采用自回归分布滞后估计方法。结果表明,变量平稳性检验在第一差I(I)和水平I(0)之间混合。协整结果表明,各变量之间存在长期的关系。结果表明,国际收支、贫困、负债率、通货膨胀率和失业率与教育发展呈负相关。估计结果表明,所有解释变量解释了尼日利亚教育发展变化的88%。因此,建议政府尽快采取能够稳定通货膨胀和汇率的政策。此外,必须制定减少贫困和失业的政策。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Macro-Economic Disequilibrium and Educational Development in Nigeria between 1980-2017
This study empirically investigates the effects of macroeconomic disequilibrium on educational development in Nigeria. The study employed time series data between 1980 and 2017. Autoregressive Distributed Lag method of estimation was employed. The result revealed that the variables stationarity test were mixed between the first difference I(I) and level I(0). The cointegration result shows that there exist long run relationship between the variables. The result revealed that Balance of payment, Poverty, Debt rate inflation and unemployment exhibited negative relationship with educational development. The estimation result showed that all explanatory variables account for 88% variation of educational development in Nigeria. It is therefore recommended that government should fast track policies that can stabilize inflation and exchange rate in the country. Also, Policies must be formulated to reduce poverty and unemployment.
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