大型海上项目的蒙特卡罗模拟风险分析

Proceedings of the 9th International Workshop on Simulation for Energy, Sustainable Development & Environment (SESDE 2021) Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI:10.46354/i3m.2021.sesde.009

A. Bruzzone, K. Sinelshchikov, F. Tarone, Federica Grosso

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引用次数: 0

摘要

分析涉及不同利益相关者的复杂过程中的风险是一项艰巨的任务。本文提出了一种将数据分析、建模和仿真与蒙特卡罗技术相结合的工具，用于此类活动的风险评估。以油气行业复杂海上解决方案建设为例，给出了超过可接受时间的风险评估实例

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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Risk Analysis by Monte Carlo Simulation over Large Offshore Projects

Analysis of risks in complex processes involving different stakeholders is a difficult task. In this paper the authors propose a tool which combines data analysis, modeling and simulation and Monte Carlo technique in order to perform assessment of risk in this kind of activities. Case study related to construction of complex offshore solutions for oil & gas sector is presented, while example of estimation of risk to exceed acceptable time is proposed

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Proceedings of the 9th International Workshop on Simulation for Energy, Sustainable Development & Environment (SESDE 2021)

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