估计胜利的价值:英国足球

Kent Hickman, S. Cooper, S. Agyei-Ampomah
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引用次数: 4

摘要

英国职业足球将公开交易的所有权股份与活跃且可观察的博彩市场结合在一起。本文利用来自这些市场的信息,提出了一个可用于估计比赛对俱乐部价值影响的模型。这些信息在俱乐部根据球员和教练对球队表现的预期贡献来评估他们的价值时可能是有用的。文章还说明了“二项事件”的建模,如赢/输、雇佣/不雇佣或批准/不批准,以及市场决定的价格反应如何阐明预期。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Estimating the value of victory: English football
Professional English football combines publicly traded ownership shares with an active and observable wagering market. This article utilizes the information from these markets, presenting a model that may be used to estimate the impact of matches on club values. Such information is potentially useful as clubs assess the values of players and coaches based on their anticipated contributions to team performance. The article also illustrates the modelling of ‘binomial events,’ such as win/lose, hire/do not hire or approval/disapproval, and how market-determined price responses illuminate expectations.
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