蜜月结束了吗?解释意大利民众对欧洲的支持和反对

Danilo Di Mauro
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引用次数: 13

摘要

本文的研究重点是意大利人对欧洲的支持和反对。特别是,它旨在理解和解释意大利公众舆论中对欧盟机构日益增长的反对。几十年来,意大利媒体和政党都把意大利描绘成最强大的亲欧国家之一。然而,最近,意大利公众舆论开始以更加批判的眼光看待欧洲,而欧洲怀疑主义政党的共识也在增长。尽管意大利对欧洲的支持明显下降,但其原因和后果在很大程度上都没有得到调查。本文的目的是通过研究意大利对欧洲的分散支持的起源来填补这一分析空白。分析通过一个三阶段策略进行,旨在观察:1)意大利分散支持的解释因素,2)经济危机对支持情绪的影响,以及3)意大利公众的欧洲认同。自1990年以来,数据由欧洲晴雨表系列提供,并通过logistic和线性模型进行分析。调查结果揭示了当前经济危机对意大利对欧洲的广泛支持的间接影响,因为对国家政府的信任和对欧盟效用的看法因经济衰退的影响而下降。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Is the Honeymoon Over? Explaining Italy's Mass Support and Opposition towards Europe
ABSTRACT The research presented in this article focuses on support and opposition towards Europe in Italy. In particular, it aims to understand and explain the progressive growing opposition towards EU institutions within Italian public opinion. For decades, both Italian media and political parties have depicted Italy as one of the strongest pro-European countries. However, more recently, Italian public opinion started to look at Europe with more critical eyes, while the consensus of Eurosceptic parties grew. Although the downturn in Italian support for Europe appears evident, both its causes and consequences are largely under-investigated. The purpose of this paper is to fill in this analytical gap by looking at the origins of diffuse support for Europe in Italy. The analysis proceeds through a three-stage strategy, aiming to observe: 1) the explanatory factors of diffuse support in Italy, 2) the effects of the economic crisis on the sentiments of support and 3) the European identity of the Italian public. The data have been supplied by the Eurobarometer series since 1990 and analysed through logistic and linear models. Findings reveal the indirect effects of the current economic crisis on diffuse support for Europe in Italy, since trust towards the national government and perceptions of EU utility decrease for the effects of the recession.
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