与时间赛跑,在COVID-19期间用疫苗拯救人类生命:全球证据。

IF 3 4区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY
Phuc Van Nguyen, Toan L D Huynh, Vu Minh Ngo, Huan Huu Nguyen
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引用次数: 5

摘要

由于COVID-19大流行给经济的不同方面带来了毁灭性的死亡和前所未有的破坏性后果,全球已经开展了大量疫苗运动。这项研究旨在确定在半数人口接种疫苗后,新死亡人数和每百万人的新病例数是如何变化的。本文使用了实际的大流行后果变量(死亡率和感染率)以及127个国家的疫苗接种率,以进一步了解COVID-19疫苗的有效性。选择50%的吸收率作为阈值,使用差中差(DiD)估算器估计疫苗接种运动对减少COVID-19感染和死亡病例的实际效益。此外,研究还包括一些控制变量,如政府干预措施和大流行期间人们的流动模式。在半数人口接种疫苗后,每百万人的新死亡人数显著下降,但新病例数量没有显著变化。我们发现,这种影响在欧洲和北美比在其他大陆更为明显。在使用其他代理和测试疫苗接种比例的敏感性后,我们的结果仍然稳健。我们展示了在全球一半人口接种疫苗的国家死亡率显著降低的因果证据。本文阐述了疫苗运动在COVID-19大流行期间拯救人类生命的重要性,其结果可用于宣传疫苗的益处并消除疫苗犹豫。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The race Against Time to Save Human Lives During the COVID-19 With Vaccines: Global Evidence.

Voluminous vaccine campaigns have been used globally, since the COVID-19 pandemic has brought devastating mortality and destructively unprecedented consequences to different aspects of economies. This study aimed to identify how the numbers of new deaths and new cases per million changed after half of the population had been vaccinated. This paper used actual pandemic consequence variables (death and infected rates) together with vaccination uptake rates from 127 countries to shed new light on the efficacy of COVID-19 vaccines. The 50% uptake rate was chosen as the threshold to estimate the real benefits of vaccination campaigns for reducing COVID-19 infection and death cases using the difference-in-differences (DiD) imputation estimator. In addition, a number of control variables, such as government interventions and people's mobility patterns during the pandemic, were also included in the study. The number of new deaths per million significantly decreased after half of the population was vaccinated, but the number of new cases did not change significantly. We found that the effects were more pronounced in Europe and North America than in other continents. Our results remain robust after using other proxies and testing the sensitivity of the vaccinated proportion. We show the causal evidence of significantly lower death rates in countries where half of the population is vaccinated globally. This paper expresses the importance of vaccine campaigns in saving human lives during the COVID-19 pandemic, and its results can be used to communicate the benefits of vaccines and to fight vaccine hesitancy.

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来源期刊
Evaluation Review
Evaluation Review SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY-
CiteScore
2.90
自引率
11.10%
发文量
80
期刊介绍: Evaluation Review is the forum for researchers, planners, and policy makers engaged in the development, implementation, and utilization of studies aimed at the betterment of the human condition. The Editors invite submission of papers reporting the findings of evaluation studies in such fields as child development, health, education, income security, manpower, mental health, criminal justice, and the physical and social environments. In addition, Evaluation Review will contain articles on methodological developments, discussions of the state of the art, and commentaries on issues related to the application of research results. Special features will include periodic review essays, "research briefs", and "craft reports".
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