团队运动中能力、运气和动机的相对重要性：英式橄榄球超级联赛成绩的贝叶斯模型。

IF 16.4 1区化学 Q1 CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY

Accounts of Chemical Research Pub Date : 2022-12-08 DOI:10.1007/s10260-022-00677-8

Federico Fioravanti, Fernando Delbianco, Fernando Tohmé

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引用次数: 0

摘要

橄榄球等接触性运动的比赛结果主要取决于球队的能力和/或运气。但这忽视了球员积极性的重要作用，球员的积极性反映在比赛中所付出的努力上。在此，我们提出了一个贝叶斯层次模型，以推断出解释 2020/2021 赛季英超橄榄球比赛得分差异的主要特征。主要结果是，努力程度（视为得分次数与踢球次数之间的比率）与解释这些比赛的结果高度相关。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

The relative importance of ability, luck and motivation in team sports: a Bayesian model of performance in the English Rugby Premiership.

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The relative importance of ability, luck and motivation in team sports: a Bayesian model of performance in the English Rugby Premiership.

Results in contact sports like Rugby are mainly interpreted in terms of the ability and/or luck of teams. But this neglects the important role of the motivation of players, reflected in the effort exerted in the game. Here we present a Bayesian hierarchical model to infer the main features that explain score differences in rugby matches of the English Premiership Rugby 2020/2021 season. The main result is that, indeed, effort (seen as a ratio between the number of tries and the scoring kick attempts) is highly relevant to explain outcomes in those matches.

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来源期刊

Accounts of Chemical Research 化学-化学综合

CiteScore

31.40

自引率

1.10%

发文量

312

审稿时长

2 months

期刊介绍： Accounts of Chemical Research presents short, concise and critical articles offering easy-to-read overviews of basic research and applications in all areas of chemistry and biochemistry. These short reviews focus on research from the author’s own laboratory and are designed to teach the reader about a research project. In addition, Accounts of Chemical Research publishes commentaries that give an informed opinion on a current research problem. Special Issues online are devoted to a single topic of unusual activity and significance. Accounts of Chemical Research replaces the traditional article abstract with an article "Conspectus." These entries synopsize the research affording the reader a closer look at the content and significance of an article. Through this provision of a more detailed description of the article contents, the Conspectus enhances the article's discoverability by search engines and the exposure for the research.