{"title":"结直肠癌起始分支过程模型中的等待时间","authors":"Ruibo Zhang, Obinna A. Ukogu, Ivana Bozic","doi":"10.1016/j.tpb.2023.04.001","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>We study a multi-stage model for the development of colorectal cancer from initially healthy tissue. The model incorporates a complex sequence of driver gene alterations, some of which result in immediate growth advantage, while others have initially neutral effects. We derive analytic estimates for the sizes of premalignant subpopulations, and use these results to compute the waiting times to premalignant and malignant genotypes. This work contributes to the quantitative understanding of colorectal tumor evolution and the lifetime risk of colorectal cancer.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":49437,"journal":{"name":"Theoretical Population Biology","volume":"151 ","pages":"Pages 44-63"},"PeriodicalIF":1.2000,"publicationDate":"2023-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Waiting times in a branching process model of colorectal cancer initiation\",\"authors\":\"Ruibo Zhang, Obinna A. Ukogu, Ivana Bozic\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.tpb.2023.04.001\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><p>We study a multi-stage model for the development of colorectal cancer from initially healthy tissue. The model incorporates a complex sequence of driver gene alterations, some of which result in immediate growth advantage, while others have initially neutral effects. We derive analytic estimates for the sizes of premalignant subpopulations, and use these results to compute the waiting times to premalignant and malignant genotypes. This work contributes to the quantitative understanding of colorectal tumor evolution and the lifetime risk of colorectal cancer.</p></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":49437,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Theoretical Population Biology\",\"volume\":\"151 \",\"pages\":\"Pages 44-63\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.2000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-06-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Theoretical Population Biology\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"99\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0040580923000230\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"生物学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q4\",\"JCRName\":\"ECOLOGY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Theoretical Population Biology","FirstCategoryId":"99","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0040580923000230","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"生物学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"ECOLOGY","Score":null,"Total":0}
Waiting times in a branching process model of colorectal cancer initiation
We study a multi-stage model for the development of colorectal cancer from initially healthy tissue. The model incorporates a complex sequence of driver gene alterations, some of which result in immediate growth advantage, while others have initially neutral effects. We derive analytic estimates for the sizes of premalignant subpopulations, and use these results to compute the waiting times to premalignant and malignant genotypes. This work contributes to the quantitative understanding of colorectal tumor evolution and the lifetime risk of colorectal cancer.
期刊介绍:
An interdisciplinary journal, Theoretical Population Biology presents articles on theoretical aspects of the biology of populations, particularly in the areas of demography, ecology, epidemiology, evolution, and genetics. Emphasis is on the development of mathematical theory and models that enhance the understanding of biological phenomena.
Articles highlight the motivation and significance of the work for advancing progress in biology, relying on a substantial mathematical effort to obtain biological insight. The journal also presents empirical results and computational and statistical methods directly impinging on theoretical problems in population biology.