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Evaluating accession decisions in customs unions: a dynamic machine learning approach. 评估加入关税同盟的决定：一种动态机器学习方法。
IF 1.5
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS AND ECONOMIC POLICY Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2024-10-03 DOI: 10.1007/s10368-024-00632-w
Dominik Naeher, Philippe De Lombaerde, Takfarinas Saber
{"title":"Evaluating accession decisions in customs unions: a dynamic machine learning approach.","authors":"Dominik Naeher, Philippe De Lombaerde, Takfarinas Saber","doi":"10.1007/s10368-024-00632-w","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10368-024-00632-w","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Previous work in the literature on regional economic integration has proposed the use of machine learning algorithms to evaluate the composition of customs unions, specifically, to estimate the degree to which customs unions match \"natural markets\" arising from trade flow data or appear to be driven by other factors such as political considerations. This paper expands upon the static approaches used in previous studies to develop a dynamic framework that allows to evaluate not only the composition of customs unions at a given point in time, but also changes in the composition over time resulting from accessions of new member states. We then apply the dynamic algorithm to evaluate the evolution of the global landscape of customs unions using data on bilateral trade flows of 200 countries from 1958 to 2018. A key finding is that there is considerable variation across different accession rounds of the European Union as to the extent to which these are aligned with the structure of \"natural markets,\" with some accession rounds following more strongly a commercial logic than others. Similar results are also found for other customs unions in the world, complementing the insights obtained from static analyses.</p>","PeriodicalId":42639,"journal":{"name":"INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS AND ECONOMIC POLICY","volume":"22 1","pages":"2"},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11468084/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142477128","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
How do regional extreme events shape supply-chain trade? 区域极端事件如何影响供应链贸易？
IF 1.7
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS AND ECONOMIC POLICY Pub Date : 2024-01-08 DOI: 10.1007/s10368-023-00582-9
Doan Ngoc Thang
{"title":"How do regional extreme events shape supply-chain trade?","authors":"Doan Ngoc Thang","doi":"10.1007/s10368-023-00582-9","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10368-023-00582-9","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":42639,"journal":{"name":"INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS AND ECONOMIC POLICY","volume":"52 22","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2024-01-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139447438","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Inflation and inequality: new evidence from a dynamic panel threshold analysis 通货膨胀与不平等：动态面板阈值分析的新证据
IF 1.7
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS AND ECONOMIC POLICY Pub Date : 2024-01-08 DOI: 10.1007/s10368-023-00580-x
L. Glawe, Helmut Wagner
{"title":"Inflation and inequality: new evidence from a dynamic panel threshold analysis","authors":"L. Glawe, Helmut Wagner","doi":"10.1007/s10368-023-00580-x","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10368-023-00580-x","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":42639,"journal":{"name":"INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS AND ECONOMIC POLICY","volume":"50 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2024-01-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139447228","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Can external sustainability be decoupled from the NIIP? 外部可持续性能否与 NIIP 脱钩？
IF 1.7
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS AND ECONOMIC POLICY Pub Date : 2023-12-23 DOI: 10.1007/s10368-023-00579-4
George Pantelopoulos
{"title":"Can external sustainability be decoupled from the NIIP?","authors":"George Pantelopoulos","doi":"10.1007/s10368-023-00579-4","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10368-023-00579-4","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":42639,"journal":{"name":"INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS AND ECONOMIC POLICY","volume":"33 19","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2023-12-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139162047","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
City-specific determinants of cross-border M&As: an inter-urban gravity approach 跨国并购的城市决定因素：城市间引力法
IF 1.7
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS AND ECONOMIC POLICY Pub Date : 2023-11-24 DOI: 10.1007/s10368-023-00577-6
Banri Ito, Katsunori Shirai
{"title":"City-specific determinants of cross-border M&As: an inter-urban gravity approach","authors":"Banri Ito, Katsunori Shirai","doi":"10.1007/s10368-023-00577-6","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10368-023-00577-6","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":42639,"journal":{"name":"INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS AND ECONOMIC POLICY","volume":"126 1","pages":"1-24"},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2023-11-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139238458","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Financial inclusion, institutional quality and bank stability: evidence from sub-Saharan Africa 金融包容性、机构质量和银行稳定性：来自撒哈拉以南非洲的证据
IF 1.7
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS AND ECONOMIC POLICY Pub Date : 2023-11-22 DOI: 10.1007/s10368-023-00578-5
Isaac Ofoeda, John Kwaku Mensah Mawutor, Dilys Nana Fosu-Hemaa Ohenebeng
{"title":"Financial inclusion, institutional quality and bank stability: evidence from sub-Saharan Africa","authors":"Isaac Ofoeda, John Kwaku Mensah Mawutor, Dilys Nana Fosu-Hemaa Ohenebeng","doi":"10.1007/s10368-023-00578-5","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10368-023-00578-5","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":42639,"journal":{"name":"INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS AND ECONOMIC POLICY","volume":"38 1","pages":"1-38"},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2023-11-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139247503","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The effect of price support policies under productivity shocks: evidence from an economywide model 生产率冲击下价格支持政策的影响:来自全经济模型的证据
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS AND ECONOMIC POLICY Pub Date : 2023-11-07 DOI: 10.1007/s10368-023-00576-7
Emerta A. Aragie, Jean Balié
{"title":"The effect of price support policies under productivity shocks: evidence from an economywide model","authors":"Emerta A. Aragie, Jean Balié","doi":"10.1007/s10368-023-00576-7","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10368-023-00576-7","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":42639,"journal":{"name":"INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS AND ECONOMIC POLICY","volume":"52 19","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-11-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135432215","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The economic impact of the US-China trade dispute 中美贸易争端的经济影响
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS AND ECONOMIC POLICY Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI: 10.1007/s10368-023-00574-9
Lars Nilsson, Stephan Nolte
{"title":"The economic impact of the US-China trade dispute","authors":"Lars Nilsson, Stephan Nolte","doi":"10.1007/s10368-023-00574-9","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10368-023-00574-9","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":42639,"journal":{"name":"INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS AND ECONOMIC POLICY","volume":"36 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135705991","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
An estimated model of a commodity-exporting economy for the integrated policy framework: evidence from Mongolia 综合政策框架的商品出口经济估计模型:来自蒙古的证据
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS AND ECONOMIC POLICY Pub Date : 2023-09-30 DOI: 10.1007/s10368-023-00571-y
Gan-Ochir Doojav, Munkhbayar Gantumur
{"title":"An estimated model of a commodity-exporting economy for the integrated policy framework: evidence from Mongolia","authors":"Gan-Ochir Doojav, Munkhbayar Gantumur","doi":"10.1007/s10368-023-00571-y","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10368-023-00571-y","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":42639,"journal":{"name":"INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS AND ECONOMIC POLICY","volume":"44 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"136280681","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Can a host country increase human capital by accepting study migrants? 东道国能否通过接受学习移民来增加人力资本?
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS AND ECONOMIC POLICY Pub Date : 2023-09-30 DOI: 10.1007/s10368-023-00572-x
Akira Shimada
{"title":"Can a host country increase human capital by accepting study migrants?","authors":"Akira Shimada","doi":"10.1007/s10368-023-00572-x","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10368-023-00572-x","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":42639,"journal":{"name":"INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS AND ECONOMIC POLICY","volume":"44 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"136341405","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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