Dominik Naeher, Philippe De Lombaerde, Takfarinas Saber
{"title":"Evaluating accession decisions in customs unions: a dynamic machine learning approach.","authors":"Dominik Naeher, Philippe De Lombaerde, Takfarinas Saber","doi":"10.1007/s10368-024-00632-w","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10368-024-00632-w","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Previous work in the literature on regional economic integration has proposed the use of machine learning algorithms to evaluate the composition of customs unions, specifically, to estimate the degree to which customs unions match \"natural markets\" arising from trade flow data or appear to be driven by other factors such as political considerations. This paper expands upon the static approaches used in previous studies to develop a dynamic framework that allows to evaluate not only the composition of customs unions at a given point in time, but also changes in the composition over time resulting from accessions of new member states. We then apply the dynamic algorithm to evaluate the evolution of the global landscape of customs unions using data on bilateral trade flows of 200 countries from 1958 to 2018. A key finding is that there is considerable variation across different accession rounds of the European Union as to the extent to which these are aligned with the structure of \"natural markets,\" with some accession rounds following more strongly a commercial logic than others. Similar results are also found for other customs unions in the world, complementing the insights obtained from static analyses.</p>","PeriodicalId":42639,"journal":{"name":"INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS AND ECONOMIC POLICY","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11468084/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142477128","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Oil prices and the euro exchange rate","authors":"Kyriaki G. Louka, Nektarios A. Michail","doi":"10.1007/s10368-024-00622-y","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10368-024-00622-y","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":42639,"journal":{"name":"INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS AND ECONOMIC POLICY","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2024-07-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141797007","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The impact of real exchange rate uncertainty on exports by technology classification in emerging economies","authors":"Ferdi Akpilic, Caglayan Aslan","doi":"10.1007/s10368-024-00626-8","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10368-024-00626-8","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":42639,"journal":{"name":"INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS AND ECONOMIC POLICY","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2024-07-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141820673","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The Big Tradeoff averted: five avenues to promote efficiency and equality simultaneously","authors":"Ali Zeytoon-Nejad","doi":"10.1007/s10368-024-00623-x","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10368-024-00623-x","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":42639,"journal":{"name":"INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS AND ECONOMIC POLICY","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2024-07-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141821317","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Guilherme Schneider Rasador, Luciane Franke, F. W. Sindelar
{"title":"US–China Trade War: an empirical evaluation regarding its impacts on Brazilian exports","authors":"Guilherme Schneider Rasador, Luciane Franke, F. W. Sindelar","doi":"10.1007/s10368-024-00625-9","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10368-024-00625-9","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":42639,"journal":{"name":"INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS AND ECONOMIC POLICY","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2024-07-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141826381","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The impacts of CETA on air pollutants","authors":"Dhimitri Qirjo, Razvan Pascalau, Dmitriy Krichevskiy","doi":"10.1007/s10368-024-00621-z","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10368-024-00621-z","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":42639,"journal":{"name":"INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS AND ECONOMIC POLICY","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2024-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141717118","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Financial development and the environment: evidence from heterogenous panel methods","authors":"Abdul Jalil, Abdul Rauf","doi":"10.1007/s10368-024-00619-7","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10368-024-00619-7","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":42639,"journal":{"name":"INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS AND ECONOMIC POLICY","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2024-06-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141349110","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Deflecting economic sanctions: do trade and political alliances matter?","authors":"Devasmita Jena, C. Akash, Prachi Gupta","doi":"10.1007/s10368-024-00616-w","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10368-024-00616-w","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":42639,"journal":{"name":"INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS AND ECONOMIC POLICY","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2024-05-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141006744","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Thiago Drummond de Mendonça Giudici, Elcyon Caiado Rocha Lima
{"title":"The business cycle in Brazil: identification via heteroskedasticity","authors":"Thiago Drummond de Mendonça Giudici, Elcyon Caiado Rocha Lima","doi":"10.1007/s10368-024-00615-x","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10368-024-00615-x","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":42639,"journal":{"name":"INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS AND ECONOMIC POLICY","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2024-04-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140672745","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Jeremiah Msugh Tule, P. Offum, Ilham Haouas, S. Akadiri, Olufunke Meadows
{"title":"Harmonizing renewable energy and economic growth in Sub-Saharan Africa: the transformative potential of ICT","authors":"Jeremiah Msugh Tule, P. Offum, Ilham Haouas, S. Akadiri, Olufunke Meadows","doi":"10.1007/s10368-024-00617-9","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10368-024-00617-9","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":42639,"journal":{"name":"INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS AND ECONOMIC POLICY","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2024-04-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140703551","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}