B. Yulianto, I. G. Sudjatmiko, A. Octavian, I. Putra
{"title":"A hybrid multi-criteria decision-making and system dynamics approach in vulnerability analysis of TNI-POLRI power","authors":"B. Yulianto, I. G. Sudjatmiko, A. Octavian, I. Putra","doi":"10.5267/j.dsl.2022.6.004","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5267/j.dsl.2022.6.004","url":null,"abstract":"This study analyzes the vulnerability of the power relations between the Indonesian National Armed Forces and the Indonesian National Police (TNI-Polri power relations) post-1998 Reform. This article employed exploratory sequential mixed methods in answering the research problem. Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) and System Dynamics methods were utilized in the study. Based on the research results, the variables of Socio-Economic (SE) Vulnerability and Adaptive Capacity (AC) have the highest weight value of 0.329. Meanwhile, the variable of Institutional Vulnerability has the lowest weight, 0.142. Overall, the vulnerability value of TNI-Polri power relations post-1998 Reform was still in the Low Vulnerability category with a value of 1,699 (33.97%). The vulnerability value of TNI-Polri power relations in the next five years will increase from a score of 1.66 in 2022 to 1.74 in 2027 so that it will increase by 5% with the same category level, namely Low Vulnerability. This study is expected to strengthen TNI-Polri power relations in maintaining national political stability.","PeriodicalId":38141,"journal":{"name":"Decision Science Letters","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"89863767","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Ricky Bryan Quiñones Fabian, Ruben Aldair Andamayo Alcantara, Abel Jesus Inga Lopez, Jaime Antonio Huaytalla Pariona, J. A. D. Quispe
{"title":"An algorithm to estimate the risk of child labor","authors":"Ricky Bryan Quiñones Fabian, Ruben Aldair Andamayo Alcantara, Abel Jesus Inga Lopez, Jaime Antonio Huaytalla Pariona, J. A. D. Quispe","doi":"10.5267/j.dsl.2022.5.004","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5267/j.dsl.2022.5.004","url":null,"abstract":"In developing countries, child labor has become a significant problem with adverse effects in the present and future for society and individuals. There are many causes that obligate children to abandon school and start working. Economic, social, familiar, and personal problems can expel children from school, inhibiting them from living appropriately. Polls like the ENAHO in Peru tried to recollect relevant data as much as possible to explain this problem. With many variables, it is necessary to have a methodology to build an algorithm with enough explanatory power to explain the situation. Therefore, this research elaborated an algorithm through Lasso to proportionate a statistical explanation of child labor. Due to the type of data, the regression was logistic.","PeriodicalId":38141,"journal":{"name":"Decision Science Letters","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"87425444","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Classification and prediction of rural socio-economic vulnerability (IRSV) integrated with social-ecological system (SES)","authors":"D. Yuliawan, D. Hakim, B. Juanda, A. Fauzi","doi":"10.5267/j.dsl.2022.4.001","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5267/j.dsl.2022.4.001","url":null,"abstract":"Vulnerability is one of the prominent features of rural areas due to their distinctive characteristics, such as remoteness, geographical conditions, and socio-economic dependence on primary sectors. Addressing the vulnerability of rural areas in terms of the rural development paradigm is both urgent and relevant. This study aims to address this issue using the current state-of-the-art machine learning method, using the socio-ecological framework and integrated vulnerability index of villages in Lampung Province in Indonesia. The study attempts to predict and classify villages' vulnerability to be applied for better planning and rural development. Based on random forest classification and decision tree algorithm, the results show that the village governance system represented by rural water management and the level of education of village leaders are suitable prediction variables related to the low vulnerability index. This study can draw lessons learned to improve rural development in developing countries.","PeriodicalId":38141,"journal":{"name":"Decision Science Letters","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"82837431","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Decision-making in formation of mean-VaR optimal portfolio by selecting stocks using K-means and average linkage clustering","authors":"Ahmad Fawaid Ridwan, H. Napitupulu, S. Sukono","doi":"10.5267/j.dsl.2022.7.002","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5267/j.dsl.2022.7.002","url":null,"abstract":"Stock is one of the investment assets that has its charm for investors. It is very liquid and has a high rate of return, but it has a high risk. The strategy commonly used to minimize investment risk is to diversify through portfolio formation. A good allocation of funds must be determined in forming an optimal portfolio. In addition, the method of stock selection needs to be considered so the stocks are well diversified and the portfolio developed has good performance. This study aims to compare stock selection between K-Means and Average Linkage clustering approaches in forming an investment portfolio. Clustering analysis is used to group IDX80 stocks based on their attributes. In forming a portfolio with the Mean-VaR model, the stock selection decision criteria used are by selecting stocks with the highest positive returns from each cluster. As a result, the two clustering techniques show the superiority of the Silhouette score for a certain number of clusters, but there are still more advantages in Average Linkage. The portfolio approached by Average Linkage resulted in a better performance than the portfolio approached by K-Means. Therefore, Average Linkage clustering can be used as a better recommendation in decision-making to select stocks so as to produce optimal portfolio performance.","PeriodicalId":38141,"journal":{"name":"Decision Science Letters","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"83798035","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"AHP and fuzzy logic geospatial approach for forest fire vulnerable zones","authors":"Nawras Shatnawi","doi":"10.5267/j.dsl.2022.8.001","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5267/j.dsl.2022.8.001","url":null,"abstract":"Fires are devastating risky events in forests, having a negative effect on resources, biodiversity, economics, animal life, and putting people in danger. The goal of this study is to use geospatial techniques to identify areas in Jordan that are at risk of forest fires. The research area extends 50 kilometers north and 15 kilometers east from the Dead Sea. The forest fire risk zones map was developed using six factors: land cover class, aspect, proximity to settlements, elevation, slope, and proximity to roads. All of the factors have been selected based on their fire sensitivity or capacity to cause fire. In this study, a Turkish model with fuzzy logic and Analytical hierarchy analysis (AHP) was utilized to classify the area into five categories of risk ranging from very low to very high. According to the findings, approximately 12.12% of the study area is classified as very low risk, 25.54 % is classified as medium risk, while 12.84% is classified as very high risk. Over the last ten years, the map has been confirmed by prior fire occurrences using data from civil defense archives. This conclusion was very useful in gaining an understanding of the geographical distribution of fire-vulnerable zones. The research found that the GIS approach combined with AHP and fuzzy logic is a useful tool for estimating such kinds of maps.","PeriodicalId":38141,"journal":{"name":"Decision Science Letters","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"74995021","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Simulation optimization of an inventory control model for a reverse logistics system","authors":"Hanane Rachih, F. Mhada, R. Chiheb","doi":"10.5267/j.dsl.2021.9.001","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5267/j.dsl.2021.9.001","url":null,"abstract":"Nowadays, companies are recognizing their primordial roles and responsibilities towards the protection of the environment and save the natural resources. They are focusing on some contemporary activities such as Reverse Logistics which is economically and environmentally viable. However, the integration of such an initiative needs flows restructuring and supply chain management in order to increase sustainability and maximize profits. Under this background, this paper addresses an inventory control model for a reverse logistics system that deals with two separated types of demand, for new products and remanufactured products, with different selling prices. The model consists of a single shared machine between production and remanufacturing operations, while the machine is subject to random failures and repairs. Three stock points respectively for returns, new products and remanufactured products are investigated. Meanwhile, in this paper, a modeling of the problem with Discrete-Event simulation using Arena® was conducted. Regarding the purpose of finding, a near-optimal inventory control policy that minimizes the total cost, an optimization of the model based on Tabu Search and Genetic Algorithms was established. Computational examples and sensitivity analysis were performed in order to compare the results and the robustness of each proposed algorithm. Then the results of the two methods were compared with those of OptQuest® optimization tool.","PeriodicalId":38141,"journal":{"name":"Decision Science Letters","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"83922016","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Hong-Dar Lin, Tung-Hsin Lee, Chou-Hsien Lin, Y. Chiu
{"title":"Exploring quality inspection and grade judgment of distortion defects in the fabrication of spectacle lenses","authors":"Hong-Dar Lin, Tung-Hsin Lee, Chou-Hsien Lin, Y. Chiu","doi":"10.5267/j.dsl.2022.6.001","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5267/j.dsl.2022.6.001","url":null,"abstract":"This study explores the quality control system featuring visual inspection and grade judgment for detecting distortion defects in spectacle lens fabrication. Spectacle lenses must be precisely curved to help accommodate nearsightedness and farsightedness. The curved shape allows the lens to have different curvatures in different areas during grinding. The spectacle lens will be prone to optical distortion when the curvature changes abnormally. Accordingly, this study proposes an automatic distortion flaw inspection system for spectacle lenses to substitute professional inspectors who rely on empirical judgment. We first apply the digital imaging of a concentric circle pattern through a testing lens to create an image of that lens. Second, the centroid–radii model is employed to stand for the shape property of each concentric circle in the image. Third, by finding the deviations of the centroid radii for detecting distortion flaws through a small variation control method, we obtain a different image showing the detected distortion regions. Four, based on the distortion amounts and locations, we establish the fuzzy membership functions and inference rulesets to measure distortion severity. Finally, the GA-ANFIS model is applied to determine the quality levels of distortion severity for the detected distortion flaws. Trial outcomes reveal that the proposed automatic inspection system can help practitioners in spectacle lens fabrication, for it attains a high 94% correct classification rate of quality grades in distortion severity, 81.09% distortion flaw detection rate, and 10.94% fake alert rate, in distortion inspection of spectacle lenses.","PeriodicalId":38141,"journal":{"name":"Decision Science Letters","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"80508999","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Optimal selection of an electric power wheelchair using an integrated COPRAS and EDAS approach based on Entropy weighting technique","authors":"S. K. Sahoo, B. B. Choudhury","doi":"10.5267/j.dsl.2021.10.002","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5267/j.dsl.2021.10.002","url":null,"abstract":"The decision to purchase the best available electric power wheelchair (EPWC) for a person with a disability in a low-resource context is very stressful, whether it is based on financial circumstances or the availability of medical solutions. The study's objective is to assess the EPWC options available on the market, focused on a set of conflicting criteria. In this research, three multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) approaches are used to make decisions. ENTROPY method for weightage calculation of various parameters, COPRAS and EDAS methods for evaluating and ranking alternatives are applied. Both COPRAS and EDAS are applied separately for ranking of selected wheelchair models, and to check the robustness of the applied method, sensitivity analysis on cost criterion is carried out. The result shows that for both methods, EPWC-1 is the top priority model to buy, whereas EPWC-7 is the worst model for COPRAS, and EPWC-10 is the worst model for EDAS among the ten alternatives.","PeriodicalId":38141,"journal":{"name":"Decision Science Letters","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"81456881","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Similarity measures for Fermatean fuzzy sets and its applications in group decision-making","authors":"Laxminarayan Sahoo","doi":"10.5267/j.dsl.2021.11.003","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5267/j.dsl.2021.11.003","url":null,"abstract":"The intention of this paper is to propose some similarity measures between Fermatean fuzzy sets (FFSs). Firstly, we propose some score based similarity measures for finding similarity measures of FFSs and also propose score based cosine similarity measures between FFSs. Furthermore, we introduce three newly scored functions for effective uses of Fermatean fuzzy sets and discuss some relevant properties of cosine similarity measure. Fermatean fuzzy sets introduced by Senapati and Yager can manipulate uncertain information more easily in the process of multi-criteria decision making (MCDM) and group decision making. Here, we investigate score based similarity measures of Fermatean fuzzy sets and scout the uses of FFSs in pattern recognition. Based on different types of similarity measures a pattern recognition problem viz. personnel appointment is presented to describe the use of FFSs and its similarity measure as well as scores. The counterfeit results show that the proposed method is more malleable than the existing method(s). Finally, concluding remarks and the scope of future research of the proposed approach are given.","PeriodicalId":38141,"journal":{"name":"Decision Science Letters","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"88110154","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Montri Singhavara, Kamoltip Panyasit, S. Nonthapot
{"title":"Planning rice cultivation in a large plot agricultural system","authors":"Montri Singhavara, Kamoltip Panyasit, S. Nonthapot","doi":"10.5267/j.dsl.2021.10.003","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5267/j.dsl.2021.10.003","url":null,"abstract":"This research aimed to study the approach of the community toward the decision to grow rice and economic crops, including appropriate resource allocation for use on a farm under a large plot agricultural system. The study areas were in Phan district, Chiang Rai province, Thailand, and the data were collected from a sampling of 400 field agriculturalists. The method used was to develop a mathematical model for growing crops with multi-objectives and in multi-periods, together with an agriculturist representative and experts in multiple-criteria decision-making (MCDM). This was to prioritize the importance of alternative crops and find the appropriate allocation of the resources to achieve the targeted goal. The results showed that agriculturists prioritized most toward the criteria for growing Japanese rice with a weight of 0.179 Kg., followed by transplanted rice, transplanted glutinous rice, garlic, sown paddy rice, and sown glutinous paddy rice, respectively. The study’s results also showed that the price fluctuation of the crop products resulted in more use of land and labor in order to increase the production to compensate for the low price, and this also resulted in the higher opportunity cost of growing transplanted rice. Therefore, growing transplanted rice during in season planting was considered the most effective way, while during the off season, either garlic or Japanese rice could be grown. A collective pattern for planning for using resources together in large plot agricultural areas, together with a clear marketing target would bring about effective use of the resources and reduce the risk in revenue from the fluctuation in prices and uncertainty of yields from drought. Moreover, technology development to solve the problem of the lack of labor would be deemed an important approach toward the enhancement of the competitiveness of agriculturists in the future as well.","PeriodicalId":38141,"journal":{"name":"Decision Science Letters","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"79529982","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}