Financial Risk and Management Reviews最新文献

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Does the Business Model Increase Bank Stability? 商业模式能增加银行稳定性吗?
Financial Risk and Management Reviews Pub Date : 2022-07-14 DOI: 10.18488/89.v8i1.3062
L. Nguyen, P. T. Tran, N. Trinh, A. Le
{"title":"Does the Business Model Increase Bank Stability?","authors":"L. Nguyen, P. T. Tran, N. Trinh, A. Le","doi":"10.18488/89.v8i1.3062","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.18488/89.v8i1.3062","url":null,"abstract":"Research on risk or sustainability in the banking system does play an important role in the banking industry, where competitiveness increases unceasingly. Simultaneously, the trend of diversifying banks’ business models is becoming more popular. Thus, this paper attempts to investigate the impact of business model diversification on bank risk and stability. The proxy of business models includes (1)Non-net interest income; (2) trading income. The paper applied Generalized Least Squares (GLS) to conduct empirical research on 18 joint-stock commercial banks listed on the Vietnam Stock Exchange from 2010 to 2019 (The GLS with panel data). The results indicated the negative impact of non-net-interest income on bank stability. Trading in foreign exchange, gold has no meaning for bank risk. The study offers some theoretical and practical implications for banks to control better risks based on new empirical findings. Especially, the diversification of business models is ineffective, and banks need more suitable solutions.","PeriodicalId":282667,"journal":{"name":"Financial Risk and Management Reviews","volume":"14 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-07-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"131255033","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Performance and Dividend Policy of State-Owned Banks Before and After COVID-19 新冠肺炎疫情前后国有银行业绩与分红政策
Financial Risk and Management Reviews Pub Date : 2022-05-09 DOI: 10.18488/89.v8i1.2989
I. W. B. Artha, T. Widyastuti, Irvandi Gustari
{"title":"Performance and Dividend Policy of State-Owned Banks Before and After COVID-19","authors":"I. W. B. Artha, T. Widyastuti, Irvandi Gustari","doi":"10.18488/89.v8i1.2989","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.18488/89.v8i1.2989","url":null,"abstract":"The purpose of this study was to analyze the performance and dividend policy of State-Owned Banks before and after the Covid-19. The research period is 2018-2021, with the sampling technique is saturated sampling, where all members of the population are used as samples. The analytical tool used is the Different Test (T-Test) supported by the SPSS program. The results show that the performance of State-Owned Banks, namely market capitalization, profitability, credit quality and liquidity is different before and after the Covid-19, while the dividend policy is not different. The market capitalization and profitability of State-Owned Banks have decreased and liquidity has improved after the Covid-19, as a result of deteriorating credit quality. Deteriorating credit quality after the Covid-19 resulted in decreased loan productivity and increased loss reserves and banks were more careful in distributing credit so that the liquidity was getting looser which resulted in decreased profitability.","PeriodicalId":282667,"journal":{"name":"Financial Risk and Management Reviews","volume":"19 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-05-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"122157021","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Predictive Creditworthiness Modeling in Energy-Saving Finance: Machine Learning Logit and Neural Network 节能金融中的预测信用建模:机器学习Logit和神经网络
Financial Risk and Management Reviews Pub Date : 2022-02-08 DOI: 10.18488/89.v8i1.2919
Herlan, Eka Sudarmaji, M. Yatim
{"title":"Predictive Creditworthiness Modeling in Energy-Saving Finance: Machine Learning Logit and Neural Network","authors":"Herlan, Eka Sudarmaji, M. Yatim","doi":"10.18488/89.v8i1.2919","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.18488/89.v8i1.2919","url":null,"abstract":"Customer's creditworthiness was becoming more crucial for ESCO. Machine learning was used to predict the creditworthiness of clients in retrofit financing processes. Machine learning was used to predict the creditworthiness of clients in ESCO financing processes. This research aimed to develop a retrofitting scoring model to leverage a machine learning and life cycle cost analysis (LCCA) to evaluate alternative financing for Energy Efficiency Saving in Indonesia. The model was built on the Logistic Regression model and Artificial Neural Networks model of machine learning. The model was developed and tested using the Python algorithm, and the proposed model's efficiency was demonstrated. The logistic regression calculations showed that the accuracy value of prediction data with test data was 88.3562 % and 87.67% for Artificial Neural Networks and Logistic Regression models. The prediction rate result that refers to the correct predictions among all test data for Artificial Neural Networks and Logistic Regression model was 92.20% and 91.98%, respectively. Meanwhile, the percentage of customers who were correct to all customers predicted to default was 94.41% for Artificial Neural Networks and 93.81% for the Logistic Regression model. Credit models were helpful to evaluate the risk of consumer loans. Finally, the quality and performance of these models were evaluated and compared to identify the best one. The logistic regression and neural network models obtained were good and very similar, although the neural network was slightly better.","PeriodicalId":282667,"journal":{"name":"Financial Risk and Management Reviews","volume":"4 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-02-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"133233539","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Risk Management and Financial Performance of Manufacturing Firms in Nigeria 尼日利亚制造业企业的风险管理和财务绩效
Financial Risk and Management Reviews Pub Date : 2021-12-28 DOI: 10.18488/journal.89.2021.71.67.77
G. Akinleye, Comfort Temidayo Olanipekun
{"title":"Risk Management and Financial Performance of Manufacturing Firms in Nigeria","authors":"G. Akinleye, Comfort Temidayo Olanipekun","doi":"10.18488/journal.89.2021.71.67.77","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.18488/journal.89.2021.71.67.77","url":null,"abstract":"The current study investigated risk management and financial performance of manufacturing firms. Specifically, the study analyzed liquidity risk and market risk effect on after tax profit of manufacturing establishment in Nigeria. The study employed panel data over the period spanning from 2010-2019 across 10 firms. Secondary data were gathered through the annual reports of the selected firms. Correlation analysis and panel-based estimation techniques were used. The outcome showed that liquidity risk positively and significantly affect profit after tax while market risk (measured by interest rate risk) negatively and insignificantly affect profit after tax of sampled firms quoted in Nigeria. This study concluded that efficient and effective risk management will positively affect performance of quoted firms in Nigeria, most specially management of internal risk such as the liquidity risk. Hence, firms should build an internal control system flexible in nature to harness the benefit of internal risk management and also normalize the negative effect of external risk such as the interest rate on performance.","PeriodicalId":282667,"journal":{"name":"Financial Risk and Management Reviews","volume":"3 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-12-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"130096180","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Performance Evaluation of Chinese Commercial Banks Based on the Malmquist Index 基于Malmquist指数的中国商业银行绩效评价
Financial Risk and Management Reviews Pub Date : 2021-10-22 DOI: 10.18488/journal.89.2021.71.60.66
Wenjing Xie, Meiling He, Guohui Huang, Lu He, Fan Lin, Wenming Pan
{"title":"Performance Evaluation of Chinese Commercial Banks Based on the Malmquist Index","authors":"Wenjing Xie, Meiling He, Guohui Huang, Lu He, Fan Lin, Wenming Pan","doi":"10.18488/journal.89.2021.71.60.66","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.18488/journal.89.2021.71.60.66","url":null,"abstract":"Commercial banks have the function of promoting the raising and rational distribution of funds in economic construction in China. Commercial banks are also important in promoting the smooth development of socialist economic activities and the development of national economy and other socialist productive economic activities. At present, one of the biggest difficulties faced by China's commercial banks is the improvement of their efficiency and competitiveness in the face of continuous development and change. This paper establishes the efficiency evaluation model of commercial banks using the DEA-based Malmquist index; it also uses a data envelopment analysis (DEA) to analyze the financial data of nine listed banks in China from 2011 to 2020, studies the efficiency of commercial banks in China, and finds the efficiency differences. Based on empirical research, this paper puts forward corresponding suggestions. The research shows that the key to dealing with this situation depends on the banks’ effective utilization of scientific and technological innovation and technological progress. In order to achieve the goal of innovative and sustainable development of commercial banks, it is necessary to integrate the continuous developments of science and technology with finance.","PeriodicalId":282667,"journal":{"name":"Financial Risk and Management Reviews","volume":"26 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-10-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"132678430","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
Likelihood of Insurance Coverage on Damages Due to Level of Insecurity in Nigeria: Logistic Modeling Approach 尼日利亚不安全程度导致损害的保险概率:逻辑模型法
Financial Risk and Management Reviews Pub Date : 2021-09-23 DOI: 10.18488/journal.89.2021.71.50.59
Orumie, Ukamaka Cynthia, D. C. Bartholomew, C. P. Obite, Kiwu Chizoba Lawrence
{"title":"Likelihood of Insurance Coverage on Damages Due to Level of Insecurity in Nigeria: Logistic Modeling Approach","authors":"Orumie, Ukamaka Cynthia, D. C. Bartholomew, C. P. Obite, Kiwu Chizoba Lawrence","doi":"10.18488/journal.89.2021.71.50.59","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.18488/journal.89.2021.71.50.59","url":null,"abstract":"Insurance serves as a protection against the unexpected and it is one of the most effective risk management tools that protect individuals from being bankrupt due to various contingencies. The binary logistic regression model approach was used to model the described dataset; the model so obtained was statistically significant. All the levels of education were statistically significant in predicting the odds of having insurance cover except for primary education level. Also, employment status and age were statistically significant in predicting the likelihood for insurance cover in Nigeria. The results showed that individuals who move from no formal education to obtain Higher education level are 21.66 times more likely to obtain insurance cover and individuals who move from no formal education to obtain Secondary education level are 2.63 times more likely to obtain insurance cover. The odd ratio is not significant for moving from no formal education to Primary education and therefore should not be interpreted. Further, individuals who move from being unemployed to being employed are more likely to obtain insurance cover. Education has the highest impact in predicting the likelihood for one to have insurance cover in Nigeria. This paper recommends overhauling of the educational system in order to revamp this sector.","PeriodicalId":282667,"journal":{"name":"Financial Risk and Management Reviews","volume":"71 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-09-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"127404233","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
Modeling and Estimation of Cumulative Abnormal Return using VECM 基于VECM的累积异常收益建模与估计
Financial Risk and Management Reviews Pub Date : 2021-09-21 DOI: 10.18488/journal.89.2021.71.36.49
Sri Ambarwati, Eka Sudarmaji, Herlan Masrio, Ismiriati Nasip
{"title":"Modeling and Estimation of Cumulative Abnormal Return using VECM","authors":"Sri Ambarwati, Eka Sudarmaji, Herlan Masrio, Ismiriati Nasip","doi":"10.18488/journal.89.2021.71.36.49","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.18488/journal.89.2021.71.36.49","url":null,"abstract":"This paper examined how firm-level idiosyncratic risk varies over time. It affected initial public offering (IPO) in the presence of pump-and-dump and flipping trends during the early trading of IPO stocks in the Indonesia Stock Exchange. The paper used the IPO data taken from 181 companies during the year 2015-2019. It revisited the relationship between Cumulative Abnormal Return thirty-days (CAR30D) and Cumulative Abnormal Return five-days (CAR5D) and the Characteristics (IPO Floating shares, IPO Fund and Price) and Macroeconomics Condition (Inflation rate). It also used the cointegration analysis and VECM model. The paper found that Both LnFloat and LnPrice had causal evidence in the long-run causality or short-run with Cumulative Abnormal Return thirty days (CAR30D). We also noted that idiosyncratic risk exposure depends on IPO characteristics. It was crucial for firms going public in hot-issue markets, undervalued IPOs, and high idiosyncratic-risk issues. The model suggested that those series should cointegrate firstly. However, the variable of LnIPOFund had causal evidence in the short-run causality only.","PeriodicalId":282667,"journal":{"name":"Financial Risk and Management Reviews","volume":"14 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-09-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"115644073","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A Blockchain Research Review 区块链研究综述
Financial Risk and Management Reviews Pub Date : 2021-09-06 DOI: 10.18488/journal.89.2021.71.26.35
Dr Mohammad Tariq Hasan, M. H. Miraz, Farhana Rahman Sumi, Shumi Sarkar
{"title":"A Blockchain Research Review","authors":"Dr Mohammad Tariq Hasan, M. H. Miraz, Farhana Rahman Sumi, Shumi Sarkar","doi":"10.18488/journal.89.2021.71.26.35","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.18488/journal.89.2021.71.26.35","url":null,"abstract":"Blockchain technology was first introduced as Bitcoin’s underlying technology which is one type of distributed ledger that consists of replicated, shared, and synchronized data over the Internet. This study extends prior studies on blockchain. A fundamental framework for a blockchain research classification was proposed by analyzing 230 articles related to the study of blockchain published in Asia and around the world from 2016 to 2020. The study applies a comprehensive meta-analysis based on findings, literature sources, research objectives, research methods, and context. The objective of the study is to summarize the current blockchain research, its constraints, and future trends. Meta-analysis is characterized by the process of theory construction. It is a powerful tool to analyze the literature in a descriptive form which will guide for further study. Research shows that the study at home is more decentralized, non-systematic, and has failed to gain a certain research depth—Moreover, it lacks quantitative analysis. Future research will focus on digital currency, Internet financing, and the risk of blockchain technology research.","PeriodicalId":282667,"journal":{"name":"Financial Risk and Management Reviews","volume":"20 3-4 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-09-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"133551433","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Modelling Stock Returns Volatility and Asymmetric News Effect: A Global Perspective 股票收益波动和不对称新闻效应建模:一个全球视角
Financial Risk and Management Reviews Pub Date : 2021-01-11 DOI: 10.18488/JOURNAL.89.2021.71.1.15
K. Onyele, Emmanuel Chijioke Nwadike
{"title":"Modelling Stock Returns Volatility and Asymmetric News Effect: A Global Perspective","authors":"K. Onyele, Emmanuel Chijioke Nwadike","doi":"10.18488/JOURNAL.89.2021.71.1.15","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.18488/JOURNAL.89.2021.71.1.15","url":null,"abstract":"This paper modelled stock returns volatility using daily S&P Global 1200 index from 1st September, 2010 to 30th September, 2020. The S&P 1200 represents a free-float weighted stock market index of global equities covering seven (7) regional stock market indices and approximately 70% of the global market capitalization, hence was used to compute global stock returns. The data analysis was carried out with Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) techniques. Of the variant GARCH models specified in this study, the symmetric GARCH-M (1,1) and the asymmetric TGARCH (1,1) models were found suitable for the estimation. The findings from the GARCH-M and TGARCH models revealed explosive volatility persistence and strong asymmetric news effect in the global stock market, respectively. The implication of volatility persistence is that current volatility shocks influenced expected returns over a long period. The asymmetric news effect showed that negative news (bad news) spurred stock returns volatility than positive news (good news) especially in 2020 which was due to the COVID-19 crisis as shown by the plot of the conditional variance. These results were consistent with the empirical findings of a number of studies in emerging markets. Hence, the study concludes that the global stock market exhibited high volatility persistence and leverage effect during the sampled period. The paper contributes the first logical analysis that volatility of S&P 1200 returns is explosive and largely influenced by news available in the global markets.","PeriodicalId":282667,"journal":{"name":"Financial Risk and Management Reviews","volume":"347 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-01-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"123190048","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Evaluating the Effectiveness of CAPM and APT for Risk Measuring and Assets Pricing 评估CAPM和APT在风险计量和资产定价中的有效性
Financial Risk and Management Reviews Pub Date : 2020-03-18 DOI: 10.18488/JOURNAL.89.2020.61.14.21
Fahim Afzal, Haiying Pan
{"title":"Evaluating the Effectiveness of CAPM and APT for Risk Measuring and Assets Pricing","authors":"Fahim Afzal, Haiying Pan","doi":"10.18488/JOURNAL.89.2020.61.14.21","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.18488/JOURNAL.89.2020.61.14.21","url":null,"abstract":"JEL Classification: G32, E44, G10. Persistent with the problem of quantifying the risk associated with securities, this study examines the applicability and validity of Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) and Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT) while evaluating the stock prices and returns of listed companies in the Pakistan stock exchange. While examining the applicability of CAPM and APT, this study considers the stock return of top ten sectors listed in stock exchange from the period of 2014 to 2019. The result shows that the application of APT for risk estimations may not be showing satisfactory results from the observed data. On average, the p-value is more than 30% for all factors which should be less than 5%. Therefore, in order to compare the application of methods and find out the stock risk, it can be concluded that CAPM approach is more reliable than APT. Thus, it is suggested to adopt the CAPM approach to estimate the realistic stock returns. Additionally, the investor can also consider different indigenous and exogenous economic factors according for calculating market risk and maximizing the return.","PeriodicalId":282667,"journal":{"name":"Financial Risk and Management Reviews","volume":"9 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-03-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"114967482","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
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