Sultana Easmin Siddika, Fang Hong, Mohammad Shohidul Islam, S. M. Masum
{"title":"Forecasting of Long-Term Natural Gas Consumption Using Linear Regression Method: A Study on Natural Gas Sector in Bangladesh","authors":"Sultana Easmin Siddika, Fang Hong, Mohammad Shohidul Islam, S. M. Masum","doi":"10.1109/ICMSS56787.2023.10117986","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ICMSS56787.2023.10117986","url":null,"abstract":"Forecasting of natural gas consumption for a country is essential for its logistics and future work flow. Long-term oriented natural gas consumption is also important for efficient logistics management in the power and energy sector. It is an advanced process for a country or a city to know the future demand of gas that can improve the transportation system, especially when the gas is transported through the pipelines. In this paper, linear regression method is proposed to forecast long-term natural gas consumption in Bangladesh. This method is very useful in time series data and forecasting on long term basis. The trend line of the regression can forecast the long-term based demand of the natural gas in the country. The results of this study indicate that natural gas consumption in the country is increasing over time. Gas consumption has increased rapidly in the last 5-10 years and it is forecasted that the consumption will be increased drastically for the next few years. Some statistical parameters such as MAE, MAPE, and RMSE are performed to evaluate the forecasting accuracy. It is also seen that the regression method provides good results in both cases annual and sector wise analysis. The results of this paper show that the linear regression model is capable of forecasting long-term natural gas consumption in Bangladesh.","PeriodicalId":115225,"journal":{"name":"2023 7th International Conference on Management Engineering, Software Engineering and Service Sciences (ICMSS)","volume":"48 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-01-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"130773822","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Application and Improvement of Agile Development in Intelligent Health Hut Software Project","authors":"Haoyang Wang, Zuchang Ma","doi":"10.1109/ICMSS56787.2023.10118316","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ICMSS56787.2023.10118316","url":null,"abstract":"As a new software system, the Intelligent Health Hut software project is characterized by exploration, creativity, and uncertainty. This makes the traditional waterfall development model unapplicable, thus allowing the agile development idea that is lighter, more flexible, and more adaptable to dynamic changes to become the preferred management mode of the project. This paper introduces the application and improvement of the Scrum method based on the agile development idea in software project management from the aspects of team building, requirements management, change management, and iterative process management, along with the characteristics of the Intelligent Health Hut software project. So as to improve the project management efficiency and project quality of Intelligent Health Hut.","PeriodicalId":115225,"journal":{"name":"2023 7th International Conference on Management Engineering, Software Engineering and Service Sciences (ICMSS)","volume":"148 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-01-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"133187680","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Research on the Synergistic Development of Agricultural Products E-Commerce and Cold Chain Logistics","authors":"Fenfang Ye, Jing Zhao, G. Jang","doi":"10.1109/ICMSS56787.2023.10118219","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ICMSS56787.2023.10118219","url":null,"abstract":"The rapid development of China's agricultural products e-commerce has led to an increasing demand for cold chain logistics as its offline activities. However, the development of cold chain logistics has not kept pace with the development of agricultural products e-commerce in recent years. This paper aims to study the linkage development of agricultural products e-commerce and cold chain logistics. Firstly, the current development status and future development trend indicators of agricultural products e-commerce and cold chain logistics distribution are selected. Agricultural products e-commerce includes 2 primary indicators: infrastructure and level of technological development, and market development potential, and cold chain logistics includes 3 primary indicators: quality of development, infrastructure and market development potential. Each primary indicators include 10 secondary indicators. Secondly, grey relational analysis (GRA) is used to study the development of agricultural products e-commerce and cold chain logistics distribution. The results found that from 2014 to 2018, the two subsystems showed a basic uncoordinated state; from 2019 to 2021, the two subsystems were in a basic coordinated state, but there was still a certain gap from coordination. Finally, the coupling mechanism between agricultural products e-commerce and cold chain logistics is constructed. The research in this paper gives certain suggestions for the development planning of cold chain logistics for agricultural products e-commerce. It improves the business efficiency and business value of cold chain logistics enterprises and enhances the consumption experience degree of agricultural products e-commerce customers.","PeriodicalId":115225,"journal":{"name":"2023 7th International Conference on Management Engineering, Software Engineering and Service Sciences (ICMSS)","volume":"19 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-01-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"121741097","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Comprehensive Evaluation and Analysis of the Transformation Ability of China's Technological Achievements","authors":"Di Pan","doi":"10.1109/ICMSS56787.2023.10117785","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ICMSS56787.2023.10117785","url":null,"abstract":"Based on the comprehensive evaluation index system for transformation ability of China's technological achievements, this paper uses AHP to calculate and determine the weight of each indicator. On this basis, by collecting and processing the relevant data, the statistical data of each indicator of the four-level indicator layer can be obtained. Finally, the weight of each indicator and its standardized data were integrated to evaluate and analyze the transformation ability of technological achievements in 29 provincial-level regions in China. It provides a scientific basis and decision-making reference promotion strategies and paths of each region for improving the transformation ability of technological achievements.","PeriodicalId":115225,"journal":{"name":"2023 7th International Conference on Management Engineering, Software Engineering and Service Sciences (ICMSS)","volume":"71 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-01-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"127097422","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Cognitive Evolution Based on Subjective Learning Promotes Cooperation in Public Goods Game","authors":"Yu Wang, Zhe Cheng, Ming-ge Xiong, Xin He","doi":"10.1109/ICMSS56787.2023.10117682","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ICMSS56787.2023.10117682","url":null,"abstract":"In order to alleviate the cognitive bias and cooperation dilemma caused by the supremacy of interests among players in the game, we take the subjective game as the research framework, propose two strategies updating models based on subjective cognition from the perspective of information fusion and emotion regulation, and study the cognitive evolution of participants in the public goods game. Through the simulation experiment on the NetLogo platform, we find that, for the decision-making process of information processing, the participants pay more attention to the long-term reputation value, which can avoid cognitive bias to some extent, and then improve the cooperation dilemma of the system through the reputation effect; For the internal emotion regulation process, individuals stick to their accumulated emotional value and improve their emotional sensitivity, which can make them have a strong resistance to the invasion of the betrayer. Our research, to a certain extent, inhibited the free riding behavior in the multi-player game situation, and maintained a high level of cooperation between groups. The strategy updating model proposed in our research provides a new way to study the cognitive evolution of players in the game process from the perspective of modeling and simulation, and has certain practical significance to help solve the problem of group cooperation dilemma.","PeriodicalId":115225,"journal":{"name":"2023 7th International Conference on Management Engineering, Software Engineering and Service Sciences (ICMSS)","volume":"30 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-01-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"117077928","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Fazila Jalil, Jianhua Yang, Muhammad Irbaz Siddique
{"title":"Optimizing Supply Chain Performance of SMEs through Big Data Analytic and IT-enabled Capabilities","authors":"Fazila Jalil, Jianhua Yang, Muhammad Irbaz Siddique","doi":"10.1109/ICMSS56787.2023.10117690","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ICMSS56787.2023.10117690","url":null,"abstract":"Nowadays, several researchers are endeavoring to uncover the influence of innumerable evolving and innovative capabilities to comprehend the impact on distinct performances of enterprises across the world. Likewise, the research on big data and information technology is acquiring an intense concentration of scholars. This study investigates the relationships among big data analytics (BDA) and IT-enabled capabilities (ITE) on enterprises' supply chain performance (ESCP) within the realm of SMEs of developing nations like Pakistan based on RBV theory and practice. Using a survey method, this study probed the nexus based on 348 responses (n=438) obtained from mainstream cities of Pakistan, including the capital city between April 2022 to June 2022. SEM model along with supporting methods, i.e., discriminate and convergent validation was carried out using SPSS and SmartPLS tools. It is found, BDA has a positive connection with ESCP. Second, the study revealed a positive nexus between ITE and ESCP, respectively. This research endows with insights for supply chain management of SMEs on how the incorporation of appearing capabilities such as BDA and ITE could optimize business performance such as supply chain performance. Furthermore, this study equips several interesting implications along with additional work potentials for the researchers to assume in the future not only within Pakistan but across the world to validate the notion of BDA and ITE in different themes.","PeriodicalId":115225,"journal":{"name":"2023 7th International Conference on Management Engineering, Software Engineering and Service Sciences (ICMSS)","volume":"32 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-01-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"116939373","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Cloud-Client Integrated Designed Financial Robot Based on Artificial Intelligence","authors":"Shengyun Shi, Guoxi Li, Bing Han","doi":"10.1109/ICMSS56787.2023.10117925","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ICMSS56787.2023.10117925","url":null,"abstract":"Financial robot is an important means to realize the automation of financial process. Considering that there is still room for expansion in the current research on financial robots, this paper proposes a financial robot based on cloud integrated design and big data analysis, and designs the financial robot on the end side, including a financial document identification module based on deep neural network, a dialogue assistance module based on natural language processing, and an error correction check module based on cloud data; Build the financial sharing cloud on the cloud side, including the financial processing system based on database and the financial big data intelligent analysis module based on data mining. Based on the cloud integrated financial robot architecture, an intelligent reimbursement process is proposed to provide simplified services for the enterprise's accounting processing process and provide reference analysis of the financial situation for the enterprise's decision-makers.","PeriodicalId":115225,"journal":{"name":"2023 7th International Conference on Management Engineering, Software Engineering and Service Sciences (ICMSS)","volume":"61 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-01-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"122117905","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Analysis of Servitization Transformation Mechanism Based on Lotka-Volterra Model","authors":"Jin Liu, Yifan Zhan, Jinchao Guo","doi":"10.1109/ICMSS56787.2023.10118347","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ICMSS56787.2023.10118347","url":null,"abstract":"Servitization of manufacturing is one of the important ways of industrial transformation and upgrading. A symbiotic evolution model of traditional manufacturing and service-oriented manufacturing was established based on the Lotka-Voterra model, and the evolution trend of these two types of manufacturing was analyzed in depth by collecting data of Guangdong Province. The results show that: (1) the Lotka-Volterra model has good adaptability to the evolution of manufacturing servitization, and the fitted data are closer to the actual value; (2) according to the model prediction results, the manufacturing industry is obviously weak in growth rate due to internal and external factors, and will grow slowly in the future and reach the limit of output level in ten years; (3) service-oriented manufacturing is parasitic on traditional manufacturing, and the development of service-oriented manufacturing will inhibit the development of traditional manufacturing.","PeriodicalId":115225,"journal":{"name":"2023 7th International Conference on Management Engineering, Software Engineering and Service Sciences (ICMSS)","volume":"22 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-01-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"127479295","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Research on Budget Performance Management System of Universitie under Big Data: A Case Study","authors":"Yue Zhuo, Y. Xiong","doi":"10.1109/ICMSS56787.2023.10118199","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ICMSS56787.2023.10118199","url":null,"abstract":"The data mindset and analytical philosophy of Big Data have triggered a conceptual change in budget performance management. Under the background of the rapid development of big data and artificial intelligence technology, how to improve the budget performance management of universities needs the support of both systems and technology. Taking a comprehensive university in the Sichuan Province of China as a specific research case, this study explores the construction of a university budget performance management system and realizes the innovation of a university budget performance management model by using big data technology.","PeriodicalId":115225,"journal":{"name":"2023 7th International Conference on Management Engineering, Software Engineering and Service Sciences (ICMSS)","volume":"21 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-01-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"122294568","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Erwin G. Peña, D. Silva, Christ John L. Marcos, Bernard S. Villaverde, Divina R. Gonzales, E. Adina
{"title":"A Synthesis of Structural Equation Model-Analytical Hierarchy Process, Nonlinear Autoregressive and Backpropagation Neural Network-Sensitivity Analysis for Construction and Demolition Waste Assessment in the Philippines","authors":"Erwin G. Peña, D. Silva, Christ John L. Marcos, Bernard S. Villaverde, Divina R. Gonzales, E. Adina","doi":"10.1109/ICMSS56787.2023.10118223","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ICMSS56787.2023.10118223","url":null,"abstract":"The Philippines' Build-Build-Build initiative has led to an increasing number of infrastructures, which have a great impact on the public, natural resources, life cycle, and ecosystem. Hence, waste is inevitable during the infrastructure's construction or demolition. Thus, the factors of sustainable construction and demolition waste management (SCDWM) must be considered to evaluate. The structural equation model (SEM). nonlinear autoregressive exogeneous (NARX) neural network (NN) and backpropagation (BP) NN were conducted to predict the coefficient of determination of SCDWM's rate impact. Furthermore, the analytical hierarchy process (AHP) and sensitivity analysis (SA) were used to determine the relative importance factors of SCDWM. The assessment results of the synthesis method of SEM-AHP, BP-NN-Garson's Algorithm (GA), and NARX-SA, which are applied in the construction engineering management field provided an interesting insight into the Philippines' initiative. Utilizing SEM as causal analysis and BP-NN and NARX as machine learning would give a new recommendation for the industry 4.0 transition.","PeriodicalId":115225,"journal":{"name":"2023 7th International Conference on Management Engineering, Software Engineering and Service Sciences (ICMSS)","volume":"51 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-01-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"121336509","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}