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Vulnerability to poverty in Brazilian municipalities in 2000 and 2010: A multidimensional approach 2000年和2010年巴西城市的贫困脆弱性:多维方法
EconomiA Pub Date : 2018-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.econ.2017.11.001
Guilherme Ottoni Teixeira Costa , Ana Flávia Machado , Pedro V. Amaral
{"title":"Vulnerability to poverty in Brazilian municipalities in 2000 and 2010: A multidimensional approach","authors":"Guilherme Ottoni Teixeira Costa ,&nbsp;Ana Flávia Machado ,&nbsp;Pedro V. Amaral","doi":"10.1016/j.econ.2017.11.001","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.econ.2017.11.001","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The introduction of the temporal component into poverty analysis takes us to the study of the poverty dynamic, which focuses on investigating events of entering, remaining in and getting out of deprivation. As an effort to consider the diverse aspects unrelated to income in the study of vulnerability to poverty, the monetary approach is put aside and the multidimensional approach is used to elaborate the well-being index. The Multidimensional Poverty Index (<strong>MPI</strong>) is constructed with data from Brazil’s 2000 and 2010 Demographic Census. First, this article intends to quantify and describe the results of the MPI in Brazilian territory, using municipalities as unit of analysis. Second, it intends to analyze the factors associated to the poverty dynamics, which can be understood through the transition probability from a non-vulnerable state to a vulnerable state, in a distribution of the MPI in deciles. Finally, it intends to identify the municipalities that went through this transition in a regional level during the intercensal period. Results show that, despite the improvement observed in its whole national territory, Brazil’s North and Northeast remain with deeper deprivations while the Southern and Southeastern regions present the lowest incidence of multidimensional poverty. <em>Dropout Rate of Grades 3–4 of High School</em>, <em>HDI-M Education</em>, <em>HDI-M Longevity</em>, <em>Logarithm of the Population</em>, <em>Gross Value Added per capita of Industry, Service Concentration Index</em> and <em>Entrepreneur Rate</em> contribute positively to the reduction of municipal vulnerability to poverty. Compared to Northern municipalities, Southeastern Brazil has reduced more significantly the likelihood of position loss and has had a greater effect of increasing the probability of its upward movement.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":100389,"journal":{"name":"EconomiA","volume":"19 1","pages":"Pages 132-148"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.econ.2017.11.001","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"77175522","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 20
Estimating the effects of partial withdrawals on GPA through time: Evidence from the University of Puerto Rico 随着时间的推移估计部分退学对GPA的影响:来自波多黎各大学的证据
EconomiA Pub Date : 2018-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.econ.2017.10.004
Horacio Matos-Díaz
{"title":"Estimating the effects of partial withdrawals on GPA through time: Evidence from the University of Puerto Rico","authors":"Horacio Matos-Díaz","doi":"10.1016/j.econ.2017.10.004","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econ.2017.10.004","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Although a direct relationship among partial withdrawals (<em>Ws</em>), GPA and grade inflation (GI) is suggested in prior research, this study demonstrates just the opposite. Evidence from a detailed panel-data comprising 34,426 sections offered in the UPR-Bayamón during 36 consecutive terms demonstrates that (1) traditional GI and the GI attributable to <em>Ws</em> run in opposite directions; (2) unobserved faculty heterogeneity, academic fields, as well as courses and academic environment characteristics exert strong and significant effects on both GPA and the GI attributable to <em>Ws</em> and (3) student evaluations of teaching are inversely and significantly related to <em>Ws</em> and to the GI attributable to them.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":100389,"journal":{"name":"EconomiA","volume":"19 1","pages":"Pages 90-104"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.econ.2017.10.004","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"92001510","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Economic growth and balance-of-payments constraint in Brazil: An analysis of the 1995–2013 period 巴西经济增长与国际收支约束:1995-2013年分析
EconomiA Pub Date : 2018-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.econ.2017.06.002
Marcos Tadeu Caputi Lélis , Eduarda Martins Correa da Silveira , André Moreira Cunha , Andrés Ernesto Ferrari Haines
{"title":"Economic growth and balance-of-payments constraint in Brazil: An analysis of the 1995–2013 period","authors":"Marcos Tadeu Caputi Lélis ,&nbsp;Eduarda Martins Correa da Silveira ,&nbsp;André Moreira Cunha ,&nbsp;Andrés Ernesto Ferrari Haines","doi":"10.1016/j.econ.2017.06.002","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.econ.2017.06.002","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The purpose of this work is to analyze the balance-of-payments-constrained growth in Brazil considering Thirwall’s Law (1979). To this end, we estimate export and import demand functions using two econometric models: vector error correction and structural state space model for the period of 1995–2013. Our results suggest that the balance of payments is a constraint to the Brazilian economic growth, given: (i) the ratio between exports and imports income elasticities; (ii) the low sensitivity of exports to changes in the real exchange rate; and (iii) the evidence that exports are more sensitive to alterations in commodities prices than to changes in the real exchange rate.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":100389,"journal":{"name":"EconomiA","volume":"19 1","pages":"Pages 38-56"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.econ.2017.06.002","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"74414919","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 9
Raising Keynes: A General Theory for the 21st century 《养育凯恩斯:21世纪的通论》
EconomiA Pub Date : 2018-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.econ.2018.02.001
Stephen A. Marglin
{"title":"Raising Keynes: A General Theory for the 21st century","authors":"Stephen A. Marglin","doi":"10.1016/j.econ.2018.02.001","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.econ.2018.02.001","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Keynes’s <em>General Theory</em> argues there is no self-regulating mechanism that guarantees full employment. Keynes’s vision has been distorted by mainstream Keynesians to mean that it is the warts on the body of capitalism, not capitalism itself, that are the problem: frictions and imperfections and rigidities may interfere with the mechanism for self-regulation that inheres in the perfectly competitive model. This distortion has two supposed corollaries, first, that the more the economy resembles the textbook model of perfect competition, the less likely are lapses from full employment; second, that since imperfections are limited to the short run, so are lapses from full employment.</p><p>Keynes was unable to convince the economics profession that the problem is capitalism; that the warts, real though they are, obscure a more fundamental problem. The reason is that Keynes lacked the mathematical tools to substantiate his vision. This paper deploys tools that were unavailable to Keynes, in order to lay the foundations of a Keynesian macroeconomics for the 21<sup>st</sup> century.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":100389,"journal":{"name":"EconomiA","volume":"19 1","pages":"Pages 1-11"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.econ.2018.02.001","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"87130595","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 6
The properties of inflation expectations: Evidence for India 通胀预期的性质:以印度为例
EconomiA Pub Date : 2018-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.econ.2017.12.002
Naresh Kumar Sharma, Motilal Bicchal
{"title":"The properties of inflation expectations: Evidence for India","authors":"Naresh Kumar Sharma,&nbsp;Motilal Bicchal","doi":"10.1016/j.econ.2017.12.002","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.econ.2017.12.002","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Empirical inferences about particular forms of agents’ inflation expectations are crucial for the conduct of monetary policy. This paper is an attempt to explore the properties of the Reserve Bank of India’s survey data of households’ inflation expectations. The paper shows that survey respondents do not form expectations rationally, regardless of the reference measures of inflation used. Further, results indicate that inflation expectations are formed purely in backward-looking manner, suggesting that the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has a low degree of credibility within the survey respondents. The study then formulates a model to identify individual elements of the backward-looking expectations in the data. The results suggest that the respondents’ short term expectations for WPI inflation are purely naïve type of expectations, only influenced by respondents earlier period expectations. In the case of CPIIW inflation, the results however suggest that the short-term expectations are not purely naïve type, but also contain adaptive as well as a static forms of expectations. This means that respondents consider their previous forecast errors about CPIIW inflation and draw recent price developments in the CPIIW while forming their overall short-term inflation expectations. This finding provides some formal evidence that the CPI based inflation measure is better suited, than WPI inflation, as a nominal anchor in the RBI’s recent transition to inflation targeting regime.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":100389,"journal":{"name":"EconomiA","volume":"19 1","pages":"Pages 74-89"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.econ.2017.12.002","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"73920992","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 15
Bullying effect on student’s performance 霸凌对学生表现的影响
EconomiA Pub Date : 2018-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.econ.2017.10.001
Felipe Resende Oliveira , Tatiane Almeida de Menezes , Guilherme Irffi , Guilherme Resende Oliveira
{"title":"Bullying effect on student’s performance","authors":"Felipe Resende Oliveira ,&nbsp;Tatiane Almeida de Menezes ,&nbsp;Guilherme Irffi ,&nbsp;Guilherme Resende Oliveira","doi":"10.1016/j.econ.2017.10.001","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.econ.2017.10.001","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This article seeks to measure the effect of bullying in math scores of students in the 6th grade of public (Nansel et al., 2001). school in the city of Recife, Pernambuco, Brazil with the use of data from a survey by Joaquim Nabuco Foundation in 2013. The methodology applied is Propensity Score Matching (PSM) in order to compare students who reported having suffered bullying with a control group, consisting of students who did not suffer bullying. Specifically, we aim to understand the role of social emotional skills and their potential influence on bullying. The results suggest that bullying has a negative impact on performance in mathematics and that social emotional skills can help students deal with bullying. Several econometric techniques were used to circumvent endogeneity problems. To identify personality traits, we use a factor model that also serves to correct for prediction error bias. The sensitivity analysis indicated potential problems of omitted variables. The results indicate that anti-bullying programs should take into account social emotional skills.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":100389,"journal":{"name":"EconomiA","volume":"19 1","pages":"Pages 57-73"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.econ.2017.10.001","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"89141483","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 43
Understanding the evolution of the fiscal situation of the Brazilian states; 2006–2015 了解巴西各州财政状况的演变;2006 - 2015
EconomiA Pub Date : 2018-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.econ.2017.06.003
José Luiz Rossi Júnior , Fernando Aguiar
{"title":"Understanding the evolution of the fiscal situation of the Brazilian states; 2006–2015","authors":"José Luiz Rossi Júnior ,&nbsp;Fernando Aguiar","doi":"10.1016/j.econ.2017.06.003","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.econ.2017.06.003","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The text analyzes how the Brazilian states’ fiscal position evolved between 2006 and 2015, with the data revealing a clear deterioration in state-level public finances during that period. The rating methodology developed by the Ministry of Finance is used to show that, when comparing 2006–2008 to 2013–2015, 21 of the 26 states and the Federal District saw their fiscal position deteriorate. The results suggest that after the global financial crisis the states failed to pursue a fiscal rule that would curb the growth of spending in a context of falling revenue and rising debt. The study shows that, despite shrinking revenue, the states maintained the pace of expenditure growth, particularly payroll and pension expenses. Moreover, the text shows that following the crisis, state-level revenue would have declined by even more were it not for a substantial increase in credit inflows. While additional borrowing enabled the states to maintain public investment in the short term, this policy showed to be unsustainable. The paper shows that higher debt and the lack of the adjustment in public spending have a negative impact on state-level investment in the long term.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":100389,"journal":{"name":"EconomiA","volume":"19 1","pages":"Pages 105-131"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.econ.2017.06.003","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"83358092","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
Decomposing Brazilian manufacturing industry dynamics in the mid-2000s: Macroeconomic factors and their sectoral impacts 2000年代中期巴西制造业动态分解:宏观经济因素及其行业影响
EconomiA Pub Date : 2017-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.econ.2017.05.004
Edson Paulo Domingues , Kênia Barreiro de Souza , Aline Souza Magalhães
{"title":"Decomposing Brazilian manufacturing industry dynamics in the mid-2000s: Macroeconomic factors and their sectoral impacts","authors":"Edson Paulo Domingues ,&nbsp;Kênia Barreiro de Souza ,&nbsp;Aline Souza Magalhães","doi":"10.1016/j.econ.2017.05.004","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.econ.2017.05.004","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The manufacturing industry's loss in participation, phenomena called “deindustrialization”, has been observed for the Brazilian economy for a while and seems to have intensified from mid-2000s. However, the literature has not developed a consistent or integrated analysis of this process. We have used a detailed simulation model to identify how macroeconomic factors (such as exchange rate, labor costs, and household consumption) have contributed to manufacturing dynamics. Our results indicate that the macroeconomic scenario explains a large portion of the manufacturing industry's participation loss. The rise in households consumption and investment, important factors in this period, were responsible for dampening of the pressures coming from the currency appreciation and the workforce costs, benefiting some industrial sectors, but not avoiding the manufacturings participation loss.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":100389,"journal":{"name":"EconomiA","volume":"18 3","pages":"Pages 411-432"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2017-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.econ.2017.05.004","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"81542042","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
Managerial effort under asymmetric information: The case of public schools in Brazil 信息不对称下的管理努力:以巴西公立学校为例
EconomiA Pub Date : 2017-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.econ.2017.01.004
Alessio Tony C. Almeida, Hilton M.B. Ramalho, Ignacio T. Araujo Junior
{"title":"Managerial effort under asymmetric information: The case of public schools in Brazil","authors":"Alessio Tony C. Almeida,&nbsp;Hilton M.B. Ramalho,&nbsp;Ignacio T. Araujo Junior","doi":"10.1016/j.econ.2017.01.004","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econ.2017.01.004","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper uses a principal-agent model to investigate how public school managers react to government incentives based on previous school performance. Using data from the Brazilian Student Evaluation Exam (Prova Brasil – PB) and the School Census, we estimate a managerial effort function by quantile regression. The findings show a regular non-linear relationship between managerial effort and lagged school performance, indicating that marginal effort is decreasing when a previously ineffective school manager becomes effective on reaching a performance goal. This evidence is in line with the adopted theoretical approach and provides new parameters for educational policies designs.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":100389,"journal":{"name":"EconomiA","volume":"18 3","pages":"Pages 275-297"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2017-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.econ.2017.01.004","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"92012230","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A signaling model of foreign direct investment attraction 吸引外商直接投资的信号模型
EconomiA Pub Date : 2017-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.econ.2017.04.001
Marcelo de C. Griebeler , Elisa M. Wagner
{"title":"A signaling model of foreign direct investment attraction","authors":"Marcelo de C. Griebeler ,&nbsp;Elisa M. Wagner","doi":"10.1016/j.econ.2017.04.001","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.econ.2017.04.001","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Foreign direct investors face uncertainty about government's type of the host country. In a two period game, we allow the host country's government to mitigate such uncertainty by sending a signal through fiscal policy. Our main finding states that a populist government may mimic a conservative one in order to attract foreign direct investment (FDI), and this choice depends mainly on its impatience degree and the originally planned FDI stock. We highlight the role of the government's reputation in attracting foreign capital and thus provide some policy implications. Moreover, our model explains why some governments considered to be populist adopt conservative policies in the beginning of its terms of office.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":100389,"journal":{"name":"EconomiA","volume":"18 3","pages":"Pages 344-358"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2017-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.econ.2017.04.001","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"86453856","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 5
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