From Informing Users about Disasters to Issuing a Forecast of Possible Impacts and Recommendations

Abstract

Increase in the number of disasters requires the development of hydrometeorological support, the use of a new paradigm - forecast the possible impacts of disasters on the population and enterprises, and the transition from the concept of informing users to a recommendatory concept. The problem of raising the awareness of enterprise heads and the public by creating a decision support system is considered. The purpose of the research is to justify the need to create the decision support system in case of disasters, determine the place of the system in hydrometeorological support of enterprises and population. In the field of hydrometeorology collected and formalized materials on the impacts of disasters on enterprises and the population, recommendations for making decisions. Database of local threshold values of disaster indicators for enterprises and their activities depending on season, geographical area, and climate zone has been prepared.