Latin America's Export Trade Prospect of Agricultural Products to China

IF 2.4 Q2 ECONOMICS

Contemporary Economics Pub Date : 2023-06-30 DOI:10.5709/ce.1897-9254.507

Jun Zhang, Valeska V. Geldres-Weiss, Jorge Heredia

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Abstract

The objective of this research is to analyze the trade prospect of Latin America countries’ exporting agricultural products to China combining the dimensions of competitiveness and trade potential, and using the Boston Matrix. Based on the agricultural product trade data from 2000 to 2019, three categories are analyzed based on Harmonized System: animal, plant, and food processing product. The results show there are 4 LA countries in the zone of bright prospect trading agricultural products with China, which are Mexico, Brazil, Uruguay and Argentina. And 16 countries in the zone of promising prospect, 6 countries in the zone of bottleneck prospect, 5 countries in the zone of dark prospect. From the perspective of the category of agricultural products, plant agricultural product is the category in which there are the most countries with bright prospect. From the perspective of trading region, South America is the area in which countries with bright prospect concentrate. Countries with dark prospect mainly concentrate in Central America and South America. Countries with bottleneck prospect evenly distribute in different regions. Countries with promising prospect mainly concentrate in the West Indies. To promote Sino-LA agricultural trade, trade categories should be expanded and trade potential should be improved. Plans could be made for cooperation according to local conditions. LA should improve the quality control of exported agricultural products. China and LA should promote regional integration and strengthen technology cooperation in agricultural industry.

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拉美农产品对华出口贸易展望

本研究的目的是结合竞争力和贸易潜力两个维度，运用波士顿矩阵分析拉美国家农产品对华出口的贸易前景。以2000 - 2019年的农产品贸易数据为基础，基于协调体系对动物、植物和食品加工产品三大类进行了分析。结果表明，与中国农产品贸易前景看好的拉美国家有4个，分别是墨西哥、巴西、乌拉圭和阿根廷。前景看好区有16个国家，瓶颈区有6个国家，前景黯淡区有5个国家。从农产品类别来看，植物性农产品是发展前景光明的国家最多的农产品类别。从贸易区域来看，南美洲是具有良好发展前景的国家集中的地区。前景黯淡的国家主要集中在中美洲和南美洲。具有瓶颈前景的国家平均分布在不同地区。有发展前景的国家主要集中在西印度群岛。为促进中美农业贸易，应扩大贸易种类，提高贸易潜力。可以因地制宜地规划合作。加强对出口农产品的质量控制。推动区域一体化，加强农业产业技术合作。

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来源期刊

Contemporary Economics ECONOMICS-

CiteScore

3.70

自引率

9.50%

发文量

审稿时长

24 weeks

期刊介绍： The mission of the Contemporary Economics is to publish advanced theoretical and empirical research in economics, finance, accounting and management with the noticeable contribution and impact to the development of those disciplines and preferably with practice relevancies. All entirety of methods is desirable, including a falsification of conventional understanding, theory building through inductive or qualitative research, first empirical testing of a theory, meta-analysis with theoretical implications, constructive replication that clarifies the boundaries or range of a theory for theoretical research as well as qualitative, quantitative, field, laboratory, meta-analytic, and combination for an empirical research. This clear priority for comprehensive manuscripts containing a methodology-based theoretical and empirical research with implications and recommendations for policymaking does not exclude manuscripts entirely focused on theory or methodology. Manuscripts that raise significant, actual topics of international relevance will be highly appreciated. The interdisciplinary approach including – besides economic, financial, accounting or managerial –also other aspects, is welcomed.