Simulation Modeling of Raising Meat Goat Farming System: Case Study of Farms in Satun, Thailand

Thitinan Sorabut, Vichot Jongrungrot, P. Chanjula
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Abstract

Goat raising in Thailand is not different in practices from other types of agriculture in terms of its small-scale household owned and diversity of activities. This study was conducted on 5 farmers practiced different 5 systems in Satun province, Thailand. Many farmers have built economic resilience in the agricultural farming systems under risks and uncertainties brought by changing government policies. This study seeks to examine the resilience of the economy through the scenario building in an integrated goat-other agricultural activities farming system adapted by farmers when facing external threats. This study found that the total annual margin of raising goats, with large diversity from 2.27 to 30.51 percent and in terms of cost and benefits of 5 plots in 2018 showed a gross margin of between 49,002 to 306,313 baht per year and plot 2 was an interesting farming system with higher net profits than the other plots. Since, the goat has low operation cost, it plays an important role as source of income to compensate for the lower margin when the economic crop price is low and in times when goat price is also low, farmers adjust management to reduce costs to offset lower margins. This research revealed values of economic resilience in the goat farming system which could be important to an integrated goat with other agricultural activities development.
肉羊养殖系统的模拟建模:以泰国沙敦农场为例
就小规模家庭经营和活动的多样性而言,泰国的山羊饲养在实践上与其他类型的农业没有什么不同。本研究在泰国沙敦省的5名农民中进行,他们实行5种不同的制度。在政府政策变化带来的风险和不确定性下,许多农民在农业耕作系统中建立了经济韧性。本研究旨在通过在山羊与其他农业活动相结合的农业系统中构建情景来检验经济的复原力,农民在面临外部威胁时能够适应该系统。该研究发现,2018年饲养山羊的总年利润率从2.27%到30.51%不等,从5块地块的成本和效益来看,毛利率在49,002至306,313泰铢之间,地块2是一个有趣的农业系统,其净利润高于其他地块。由于山羊的经营成本较低,因此在经济作物价格较低时,山羊作为收入来源可以弥补较低的利润,而在山羊价格较低时,农民可以调整管理以降低成本以抵消较低的利润。这项研究揭示了山羊养殖系统的经济弹性价值,这可能对山羊与其他农业活动的综合发展很重要。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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