Mortality Change among Less Educated Americans

IF 5.5 1区经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS

American Economic Journal-Applied Economics Pub Date : 2022-10-01 DOI:10.1257/app.20190297

P. Novosad, Charlie Rafkin, S. Asher

引用次数: 19

Abstract

Measurements of mortality change among less educated Americans can be biased because the least educated groups (e.g., dropouts) become smaller and more negatively selected over time. We show that mortality changes at constant education percentiles can be bounded with minimal assumptions. Middle-age mortality increases among non-Hispanic Whites from 1992 to 2018 are driven almost entirely by the bottom 10 percent of the education distribution. Drivers of mortality change differ substantially across groups. Deaths of despair explain most of the mortality change among young non-Hispanic Whites, but less among older Whites and non-Hispanic Blacks. Our bounds are applicable in many other contexts. (JEL I12, I26, J15)

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受教育程度较低的美国人死亡率的变化

对受教育程度较低的美国人死亡率变化的测量可能存在偏差，因为受教育程度最低的群体(如辍学者)随着时间的推移变得越来越小，而且被选择的负面影响越来越大。我们表明，在恒定的教育百分位数下，死亡率的变化可以用最小的假设来限定。从1992年到2018年，非西班牙裔白人中年死亡率的上升几乎完全是由教育分布中最低的10%的人推动的。死亡率变化的驱动因素在不同群体之间差别很大。绝望的死亡解释了年轻的非西班牙裔白人死亡率的变化，但在老年白人和非西班牙裔黑人中较少。我们的界限适用于许多其他情况。(j12, i26, j15)

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来源期刊

American Economic Journal-Applied Economics ECONOMICS-

CiteScore

9.10

自引率

1.60%

发文量

期刊介绍： American Economic Journal: Applied Economics publishes papers covering a range of topics in applied economics, with a focus on empirical microeconomic issues. In particular, we welcome papers on labor economics, development microeconomics, health, education, demography, empirical corporate finance, empirical studies of trade, and empirical behavioral economics.