Assessment of risks and prospects of employment and income of the rural population of Ukraine

Abstract

Employment, total household resources, in particular, income and expenditures of the rural population in any country are a direct reflection of well-being and a substantial criterion for socio-economic development. The purpose of the study is to identify risks, compare and determine the prospects for employment and income of the rural population of Ukraine. The methodological basis of the research is a systematic approach. Comparative analysis, graphical method, trend, index, correlation-regression analysis is used in the analytical study. Current conditions are analysed and trends in rural employment in Ukraine and their income level for 1991-2021 are determined. It was established that over the past 30 years, the socio-economic crisis in rural areas continues to worsen, which is manifested in increased unemployment and poverty. The main external and internal factors influencing the incomes of the rural population are identified and systematised. It is determined that the main influence is exerted by economic factors. Considering the recovery plan of Ukraine and other indicators, the level of employment, salaries, and incomes of the rural population is predicted. It is proved that ensuring employment and overcoming poverty should be based on the diversification of agricultural production and beyond agricultural activities. The main provisions and conclusions presented in the study can be used in the process of justifying and making managerial decisions by state management bodies in the development and implementation of an effective long-term national policy in the field of employment of the rural population of Ukraine, optimising approaches to the development of programmes to increase the income of the rural population.