Monitoring land-use changes and predicting their spatio-temporal trends in Hamedan City

Abstract

Monitoring land-use changes and predicting their spatio-temporal trends in Hamedan City. 145-164. was in the very poor barren lands and rangeland, which reached 49.8% in 2004. Horticultural and irrigated agriculture land use and mountainous land use decreased by 1.2 and 1.5%, respectively, in 2004 compared to 1993. The land-use area of residential and non-residential construction and barren lands have continued to increase in 2019. The area of these land uses increased by 1.1 and 2.4%, respectively. Finally, it can be said that from 1993 to 2019, horticultural, agricultural, mountainous, and rangeland uses have been transformed into residential and non-residential construction uses and barren lands. This land conversion has negative consequences for the region's future. Conclusion: In this study, it was found that the automatic cell model and Markov chain have a high ability to predict future land-use changes. Also, the largest increase in land use was related to residential and non-residential construction and barren lands, and other land uses such as garden lands and irrigated and mountainous agriculture. Rangeland experienced a decrease in area in the region. Therefore, planners should consider this extensive urban growth and development to carry out their plans more efficiently.