Forecasting Needs of the Operational Activity of a Logistics Operator

IF 16.4 1区化学 Q1 CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY

Accounts of Chemical Research Pub Date : 2022-06-30 DOI:10.17270/j.log.2022.713

Mariusz Kmiecik, M. Wolny

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引用次数: 1

Abstract

. Background: The paper considers the issue of operational needs of logistics operator connected with the implementation of demand forecasting tool in his activity. The aim of this article is to present research results on the ability to meet the expectations of distribution centre managers at the operational level. To achieve the main goal, three research questions concerning general requirements and possibilities of meeting the requirements set by managers working for a logistics operator were also defined and related to operational needs. Methods: The research analysed the operational requirements of a logistics operator using a survey conducted among managers dealing with the operational work that is performed in the operator's warehouses. Then, the possibility of implementing and operating a forecasting tool based on the ARIMA algorithm in the logistics service of a confectionery manufacturer was analysed, providing the verification of usefulness of such a tool and the level of its adjustment to operational requirements. Results: The forecasting tool is especially useful in the operator's activity in order to support the resource planning process of warehouse operation. However, managers set high requirements regarding the verifiability of the operation of such a tool, which is not completely available in the current situation. The article also shows the future development paths of this tool. Conclusions: The article shows possibilities related to the use of a forecasting tool in activities related to the provision of services in contract logistics. This allows for verification of the needs and capabilities of the logistics operator who would forecast the demand to support the operations it carries out.

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预测物流经营者的业务活动需求

．背景:本文考虑了物流经营者的业务需求问题，并结合需求预测工具在其活动中的实施。本文的目的是提出的能力，以满足期望的配送中心经理在运营层面的研究成果。为了实现主要目标，还定义了三个研究问题，涉及一般要求和满足管理人员为物流运营商工作所设定的要求的可能性，并与运营需求相关。方法:研究分析了一个物流运营商的操作要求，使用一项调查进行管理人员处理的业务工作，是在运营商的仓库执行。然后，分析了基于ARIMA算法的预测工具在糖果制造商物流服务中实施和运行的可能性，并验证了该工具的实用性及其对业务需求的调整程度。结果:预测工具在操作人员的活动中特别有用，以支持仓库操作的资源规划过程。然而，管理人员对这种工具的操作的可验证性提出了很高的要求，而在目前的情况下，这种要求并不完全可行。本文还展示了该工具的未来发展路径。结论:本文展示了在合同物流中提供服务的活动中使用预测工具的可能性。这允许验证物流运营商的需求和能力，他们将预测支持其开展的业务的需求。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Accounts of Chemical Research 化学-化学综合

CiteScore

31.40

自引率

1.10%

发文量

312

审稿时长

2 months

期刊介绍： Accounts of Chemical Research presents short, concise and critical articles offering easy-to-read overviews of basic research and applications in all areas of chemistry and biochemistry. These short reviews focus on research from the author’s own laboratory and are designed to teach the reader about a research project. In addition, Accounts of Chemical Research publishes commentaries that give an informed opinion on a current research problem. Special Issues online are devoted to a single topic of unusual activity and significance. Accounts of Chemical Research replaces the traditional article abstract with an article "Conspectus." These entries synopsize the research affording the reader a closer look at the content and significance of an article. Through this provision of a more detailed description of the article contents, the Conspectus enhances the article's discoverability by search engines and the exposure for the research.