Being Creative Part 2: Practice of Having a Prescient View

Abstract

The following sections are included:Accelerated Change is the Only OptionSegment 1: Aphorisms and CaveatsIntroduction: Four Aphorisms and a Well-Imagined FutureKnown and Knowable: Predictions and AnticipationAvoiding Complacency: Three Caveats and a Call to Action (see Figure 2)Segment 2: Art of the Long ViewArt of the Long View: Helping the Expert MindWhat-if Thinking: Changing Lenses to See the "Real" Problem Outside-in Orientation: Environment and Focal IssueSegment 3: Identifying Emerging PatternsCreativity and Complexity: "Rule-Books" for an Unorderly World?Segment 4: Antidote to the UnexpectedThe Unexpected — A Simple SequenceThe Anatomy of SurpriseMultiple Perspectives — Elephants and SUVsConclusion