3D modeling the Baltic Sea ecosystem under different land loads

V. Ryabchenko, I. Neelov, R. Vankevich, A. Isaev, O. Savchuk, T. Eremina
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Abstract

Two simulations of the Baltic Sea state under different nutrient land loads estimated within the MARE and the SEGUE projects were performed with the St. Petersburg Baltic Eutrophication Model (SPBEM) for the period 1996-2000. Comparison of results of these two runs of nutrient land loads showed that the differences in concentrations of biogeochemical characteristics by the end of the period considered are significant in the coastal zone, especially in the vicinity of the major river mouths. This implies that a careful reassessment of nutrient land loads is needed before the implementation of scenario simulations of nutrient load reduction measures.
波罗的海生态系统在不同陆地负荷下的三维建模
利用圣彼得堡波罗的海富营养化模型(SPBEM)对1996-2000年期间MARE和SEGUE项目估算的不同养分陆地负荷下的波罗的海状态进行了两次模拟。对这两组养分陆地负荷结果的比较表明,在考虑的时期结束时,海岸带生物地球化学特征浓度的差异是显著的,特别是在主要河口附近。这意味着在实施减少养分负荷措施的情景模拟之前,需要对养分土地负荷进行仔细的重新评估。
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