Prediction of Particulate Matter Concentrations Using Artificial Neural Network

Surendra Roy
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引用次数: 22

Abstract

Mill tailings at Kolar Gold Fields are creating particulate pollution on air environment. In the previous study, multiple regression models were developed for the prediction of particulate matter concentrations using data of meteoro- logical parameters (wind speed, wind direction, temperature, humidity and solar radiation) and particulate matter (PM10 and TSP) monitored in different seasons(1). Artificial neural network is an excellent predictive and data analysis tool for the evaluation of air pollutants. Therefore, the data were used for the development of neural network models. During develop- ment of models, the values 0.02, 0.5 and 0.7 were used as target error, learning rate and momentum respectively. Three hidden layers were used to obtain acceptable values. Performance of the models was evaluated using those sets of data which were not used during learning of neural network. Architecture of developed networks, number of hidden neurons and weights, normalised and relative error, importance and sensitivity, etc have been discussed in this paper.
基于人工神经网络的颗粒物浓度预测
科拉尔金矿选矿尾矿对大气环境造成颗粒物污染。在以往的研究中,利用不同季节监测的气象参数(风速、风向、温度、湿度和太阳辐射)和颗粒物(PM10和TSP)数据,建立了预测颗粒物浓度的多元回归模型(1)。人工神经网络是评价大气污染物的一种优秀的预测和数据分析工具。因此,这些数据被用于开发神经网络模型。在模型开发过程中,分别采用0.02、0.5和0.7作为目标误差、学习率和动量。使用三个隐藏层来获得可接受的值。使用神经网络学习过程中未使用的数据集来评估模型的性能。本文讨论了已开发网络的结构、隐藏神经元的数量和权值、归一化和相对误差、重要性和灵敏度等问题。
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