AN AIR TRAFFIC DEMAND FORECASTING MODEL APPLIED TO SANTANDER AIRPORT

Abstract

The main contribution of this study is its use of the Box-Jenkins method to estimate passenger demand models for two different demand segments: business travel and leisure travel. This research presents an air traffic forecasting model based on an arima model. Firstly, we offer the intervention model for Easter, the number of working days and the impact of the iberia strike. Then we analyze day of week impact and carry out the forecasting. jel Classification: C53, L93, R41.