Research on Transformer Incomplete Repair Strategy Considering Proportional Hazard Model

Xiaofeng Liu, Xiaofeng He, Yunxiang Ma, Lipeng He, Hongzhong Ma, Peng-fei Hou
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Abstract

In order to consider the incomplete maintenance problem into the transformer state maintenance strategy, this paper proposes a transformer state maintenance strategy based on the proportional strength model. First of all, this paper establishes a transformer proportional strength model, and gives a detailed calculation model of incomplete maintenance parameters in the proportional strength model. And this article has determined its reasonable value range and clarified the overhaul effect of incomplete overhaul activities. Secondly, this paper uses the least cost method to determine the condition maintenance threshold curve of the proportional strength model, and adds the lower limit of the threshold as the restrictive index of the condition maintenance strategy. Then, this paper uses actual transformer fault statistics and condition monitoring data to carry out a calculation example analysis. Finally, the effectiveness of the proportional strength model in the case of incomplete overhaul is verified through the analysis of a calculation example, which provides a reliable theoretical basis for the decision-making of the transformer's condition overhaul.
考虑比例风险模型的变压器不完全修复策略研究
为了在变压器状态维护策略中考虑不完全维护问题,提出了一种基于比例强度模型的变压器状态维护策略。本文首先建立了变压器比例强度模型,并给出了比例强度模型中不完全维修参数的详细计算模型。并确定了其合理取值范围,明确了不完全大修活动的大修效果。其次,采用最小代价法确定比例强度模型的工况维护阈值曲线,并加入阈值下限作为工况维护策略的限制性指标;然后,利用实际的变压器故障统计和状态监测数据进行算例分析。最后,通过算例分析,验证了比例强度模型在不完全大修情况下的有效性,为变压器状态大修决策提供了可靠的理论依据。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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