The Existence of Long-Run PPP: A Comparison between Developed and Developing Countries

Sulistiadi Dono Iskandar
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Abstract

McNown & Wallace (1989) argued that PPP will tend to holds in less developed countries due to the domination of nominal factors in the economy. In this study we try to investigate the existence of long-run PPP in eight countries consisting four developed and developing countries. Here we show that there is a strong evidence that long-run PPP holds for Germany, United Kingdom, and Chile. Furthermore, the additional tests also show that symmetry and proportionality conditions seem to hold in the three economies. As for other five economies, long-run PPP seems to be absence. Although one step general Error Correction Model and Johansen-Juselius cointegration procedure generates conflicting result, the result of both technique do not show a tendency for PPP to hold in developing countries thus rejecting argument proposed by McNown andWallace.
长期PPP的存在:发达国家与发展中国家的比较
McNown & Wallace(1989)认为,由于经济中的名义因素占主导地位,购买力平价在欠发达国家将趋于成立。在本研究中,我们试图调查八个国家(包括四个发达国家和发展中国家)长期PPP的存在。在这里,我们表明,有强有力的证据表明,长期购买力平价适用于德国、英国和智利。此外,额外的测试还表明,对称和比例条件似乎在这三个经济体中成立。至于其他五个经济体,长期购买力平价似乎不存在。虽然一步一般误差修正模型和Johansen-Juselius协整过程产生了相互矛盾的结果,但这两种方法的结果都没有显示PPP在发展中国家持有的趋势,从而否定了McNown和wallace提出的论点。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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