North Korean Intelligence Structures

Q1 Arts and Humanities
Stephan Blancke
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

IntroductionCompared to other states, it is especially difficult to gather reliable information about North Korean intelligence structures. Every intelligence agency is interested in working under nonpublic conditions and keeping its structures secret. This means that no numbers about employees, or about the size of the organization, or details about operations and cooperations with other agencies, and so on, are available. The Democratic Peoples Republic of Korea (DPRK) is obsessed with a cult of secrecy, refusing every kind of request concerning security subjects. It is still a widely insular state, its regime of nepotists frightened of being removed by nearly everything: capitalism, the angry crowd, the imperialists, and so on. It controls every move and every communication, both inside and outside. This fear can be perceived as the history of Korea, which had to fight battles with other different states or interest groups over the centuries. In the eyes of the North Korean government, every rumor must be a reason to distrust close allies: in 2003, reports circulated that the Russian intelligence agency Sluzhba Vneshney Razvedki (SVR) had installed secret nuclear monitoring equipment in Pyongyang-allegedly following a request from the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA). Of course, the ruling elite in the DPRK has something to lose: its boundless power and privileges.There are four main problems in undertaking research about intelligence in the DPRK:* There is a large number of intelligence organizations connected in a nontransparent way.* There is high employee fluctuation and simultaneous multiple occupations in the security and civilian sectors.* Cooperation between the DPRK and Chinese intelligence, as well as with sub-intelligence organizations, is nontransparent.* The Western focus on classic intelligence needs ignores to specific DPRK requirements.For Western intelligence analysts, this means that most data about intelligence in the DPRK is decontextualized, and individual items of information often seem to stand isolated from each other. Requested surveys tend to become more political assumptions rather than independent realistic scenarios. Concerning the media, only a few North Korean spies and illegal traders find a route to publicity; for example, John Joungwoon Yai, Kang Song-hui, Won Jeong-hwa, Chang Min-ho, or So Sokhong, together with his wife Pak Chong-sun.Survey of SourcesMuch of the information about the DPRK's intelligence operations, structure, or personnel is outdated, classified, or more-or-less feasible attempts at speculation. Some information is supplied by defectors or people working in the DPRK-members of nongovernmental organizations (NGOs) or of the slowly growing business sector. Defectors are important, but most of them have "only" a job-defined overview and have tried to exaggerate their own knowledge-a comprehensible form of behavior. You need more defectors, to cross-check the given information, than ever leave the DPRK. The other problem is the lack of qualitative and quantitative data, especially about intelligence-it still doesn't exist, in contrast to the massive flow of information about agriculture, nutrition, and so on since the mid-1990s.In these difficult circumstances, it is necessary to define the aims of doing research in this field: What is really interesting and what is important to know? What kind of sources are reliable and who can you trust? In how many different ways can research be done, and how can the results be compared and connected?Only a handful of intelligence-related publications, declassified reports, and predominantly gray literature in the form of conference papers or more-or-less open source documents of a highly variable quality are available.1 Highly interesting information and analysis is provided by research institutes, think tanks, and governmental organizations-in particular, from the East Asian region, but from friendly governments too. …
朝鲜情报机构
与其他国家相比,收集有关朝鲜情报机构的可靠信息尤其困难。每个情报机构都有兴趣在非公开的条件下工作,并对其结构保密。这意味着没有关于雇员的数字,或者关于组织的规模,或者关于操作和与其他机构合作的细节,等等,是可用的。朝鲜民主主义人民共和国(DPRK)痴迷于秘密崇拜,拒绝任何有关安全问题的要求。它仍然是一个广泛孤立的国家,它的裙带关系政权害怕被几乎所有的东西推翻:资本主义、愤怒的人群、帝国主义者等等。它控制着内部和外部的每一个动作和每一次交流。这种恐惧可以理解为韩国的历史,几个世纪以来,韩国不得不与其他不同的国家或利益集团进行斗争。在朝鲜政府看来,每一个谣言都是不信任亲密盟友的理由:2003年,有报道称,俄罗斯情报机构SVR (Sluzhba Vneshney Razvedki)应美国中央情报局(CIA)的要求,在平壤安装了秘密的核监控设备。当然,朝鲜的统治精英也会失去一些东西:无边无际的权力和特权。在朝鲜开展情报研究存在四个主要问题:*大量情报机构以不透明的方式联系在一起。*保安和文职部门的雇员波动大,同时有多种职业。*朝鲜与中国情报机构以及与次情报机构的合作是不透明的。*西方对经典情报需求的关注忽视了朝鲜的具体要求。对于西方情报分析人士来说,这意味着大多数关于朝鲜情报的数据都是脱离背景的,而且单个的信息项目往往似乎是相互孤立的。所要求的调查往往变成更多的政治假设,而不是独立的现实情景。在媒体方面,只有少数朝鲜间谍和非法商人找到了宣传的途径;例如,约翰·仲云雅、姜松辉、元正和、张民浩、苏素洪和他的妻子朴钟善。关于朝鲜情报运作、结构或人员的大部分信息都是过时的、机密的,或多或少是猜测的可行尝试。有些信息是由叛逃者或在朝鲜工作的人提供的,他们是非政府组织的成员或增长缓慢的商业部门的成员。叛逃者很重要,但他们中的大多数人“只有”一个工作定义的概述,并试图夸大自己的知识——一种可理解的行为形式。你需要更多的叛逃者,来核对给定的信息,而不是离开朝鲜。另一个问题是缺乏定性和定量的数据,尤其是智力方面的数据——与20世纪90年代中期以来农业、营养等方面的大量信息流相比,这方面的数据仍然不存在。在这种困难的情况下,有必要确定在这个领域做研究的目标:什么是真正有趣的,什么是重要的知道?什么样的消息来源是可靠的,你可以信任谁?有多少种不同的方法可以进行研究,如何比较和联系结果?只有少数与情报相关的出版物、解密报告,以及主要以会议论文或或多或少、质量参差不齐的开源文档形式出现的灰色文献是可用的研究机构、智库和政府机构提供了非常有趣的信息和分析——特别是来自东亚地区的,但也有来自友好国家的。…
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
North Korean Review
North Korean Review Arts and Humanities-History
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0.70
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