Current issues in and an emerging method for flood frequency analysis under changing climate

IF 0.6 Q4 WATER RESOURCES

Hydrological Research Letters Pub Date : 2017-01-01 DOI:10.3178/HRL.11.1

M. Kavvas, K. Ishida, T. Trinh, A. Ercan, Y. Darama, K. Carr

引用次数: 9

Abstract

: In this study several issues with the standard flood fre quency analysis are discussed in the context of a changing hydro-climate in the 21st century. Among these issues the loss of statistical equilibrium in the hydro-climate of a stud ied region during the 21st century has serious implications on the standard frequency analysis that is discussed in some detail. An alternative method to flood frequency analysis within the framework of a changing climate based on ensem ble of future climate projections is reported and demon strated by a numerical application to a target watershed.

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气候变化条件下洪水频率分析的现状及新方法

本文讨论了21世纪水文气候变化背景下标准洪水频率分析的几个问题。在这些问题中，21世纪被研究地区水文气候统计平衡的丧失对标准频率分析产生了严重影响，并对此进行了详细讨论。本文报道了一种基于未来气候预测表的气候变化框架内洪水频率分析的替代方法，并通过对目标流域的数值应用进行了演示。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Hydrological Research Letters WATER RESOURCES-

CiteScore

1.90

自引率

18.20%

发文量

审稿时长

10 weeks

期刊介绍： Hydrological Research Letters (HRL) is an international and trans-disciplinary electronic online journal published jointly by Japan Society of Hydrology and Water Resources (JSHWR), Japanese Association of Groundwater Hydrology (JAGH), Japanese Association of Hydrological Sciences (JAHS), and Japanese Society of Physical Hydrology (JSPH), aiming at rapid exchange and outgoing of information in these fields. The purpose is to disseminate original research findings and develop debates on a wide range of investigations on hydrology and water resources to researchers, students and the public. It also publishes reviews of various fields on hydrology and water resources and other information of interest to scientists to encourage communication and utilization of the published results. The editors welcome contributions from authors throughout the world. The decision on acceptance of a submitted manuscript is made by the journal editors on the basis of suitability of subject matter to the scope of the journal, originality of the contribution, potential impacts on societies and scientific merit. Manuscripts submitted to HRL may cover all aspects of hydrology and water resources, including research on physical and biological sciences, engineering, and social and political sciences from the aspects of hydrology and water resources.