Revisiting the tariff-growth correlation: The Australasian colonies, 1866–1900

0 ECONOMICS
Brian D. Varian
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Abstract

This article tests for the presence of a tariff-growth correlation among the seven tariff-autonomous colonies of late-nineteenth-century Australasia, making use of several colony-specific macroeconomic series that have only recently become available. Introducing tariffs to a convergence model yields no evidence of an association between tariffs and growth among the Australasian colonies. This finding is unaltered when the tariff variable is replaced by a purposefully constructed proxy variable for the tariff on manufactures specifically. Additionally, this article finds little evidence that tariffs induced an intersectoral adjustment into manufacturing.

重访关税与增长的关系:澳大拉西亚殖民地,1866-1900
本文利用最近才可用的几个特定殖民地的宏观经济系列,测试了19世纪晚期澳大利亚七个关税自治殖民地之间关税增长相关性的存在。在趋同模型中引入关税,没有证据表明关税与澳大拉西亚殖民地的增长之间存在关联。当关税变量被专门针对制造业的关税构建的代理变量所取代时,这一发现没有改变。此外,本文发现几乎没有证据表明关税导致了制造业的部门间调整。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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