Investigating the Relationship between Population Structure and Poverty

M. Nejati, A. Shakibaei, M. Gholami
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Abstract

Introduction: Poverty reduction is one of the important macroeconomic goals of any country, but achieving this important issue requires examining the factors affecting it. Changing the age structure of the population is one of the effective factors in reducing poverty in countries. Therefore, governments can make the most of their population, given the capacity of countries and providing the necessary conditions, and as a result, achieve high growth and development among countries. The purpose of this study is to investigate and analyze the effect of population age structure on poverty in Iran. Method: The method of this research is analytical-descriptive. First, theoretical topics and experimental studies and research data are collected, and the appropriate analysis model is selected. Then, with the Generalized Method of Momen for Iran since 1975 until 2017, the desired research models have been estimated, and finally, using statistical and econometric inferences, the research results have been studied. Findings: In general, according to the results, it can be concluded that the dependent population of the child and years of schooling have a negative and significant relationship with the dependent variable, the elderly dependent population has a negative and significant relationship with the dependent variable and also the percentage of trade in GDP and Physical capital inventories have a negative relationship with the dependent variable. Discussion: In this study, the years of schooling, the percentage of trade in GDP, as well as capital stock are based on a coefficient that agrees with the theory. The positive effect of the elderly population on poverty reduction indicates the existence of high savings in old age. Paying attention to the growth of highly educated employees as well as employing specialized personnel increases the productivity of the labor force and also creates the possibility of creating new production methods that have significant effects on poverty reduction.
人口结构与贫困关系研究
引言:减贫是任何国家的重要宏观经济目标之一,但要实现这一重要问题,需要研究影响因素。改变人口年龄结构是各国减贫的有效因素之一。因此,政府可以在国家能力和提供必要条件的情况下,最大限度地利用其人口,从而实现国家间的高增长和发展。本研究旨在调查和分析伊朗人口年龄结构对贫困的影响。方法:本研究采用分析描述性研究方法。首先,收集理论课题和实验研究数据,选择合适的分析模型。然后,从1975年到2017年,使用伊朗Momen的广义方法,对所需的研究模型进行了估计,最后,使用统计和计量经济学推断,对研究结果进行了研究。研究结果:总体而言,根据研究结果,可以得出结论,儿童的受抚养人口和受教育年限与因变量呈负显著关系,老年依赖人口与因变量呈负相关,贸易占GDP的百分比和实物资本存量与因变量也呈负相关。讨论:在这项研究中,教育年限、贸易占GDP的百分比以及资本存量都是基于一个符合理论的系数。老年人口对减贫的积极影响表明,老年人有较高的储蓄。关注受过高等教育的员工的成长以及雇佣专业人员可以提高劳动力的生产力,也为创造对减贫有重大影响的新生产方法创造了可能性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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