Foreign Policy Alignment and Russia's Energy Weapon

IF 1.7 2区社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS

Foreign Policy Analysis Pub Date : 2023-01-20 DOI:10.1093/fpa/orac042

Christina M Stoelzel Chadwick, A. Long

引用次数: 0

Abstract

Scholars of international relations disagree whether trade in natural gas between Europe and Russia provides the latter with a source of foreign policy power. Because a reduction in trade of natural gas is costly for importers, the potential economic power of Russia's energy weapon could alter strategic calculations about diplomatic conflict with Russia. Consequently, we hypothesize that increases in dependence on Russian natural gas will lead to more foreign policy convergence with Russia. Using a panel of European states from 1995 to 2013 and a time series of Germany from 1979 to 2013, we find support for our argument that greater dependence on Russian natural gas correlates with more similarity in voting patterns at the United Nations General Assembly. Our research suggests that Russian natural gas imports to Europe shape broader political alignments, adding to the growing body of research on the potential ramifications of Russia's energy weapon.

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外交政策结盟与俄罗斯的能源武器

国际关系学者不同意欧洲和俄罗斯之间的天然气贸易是否为后者提供了外交政策权力的来源。由于减少天然气贸易对进口商来说代价高昂，俄罗斯能源武器的潜在经济实力可能会改变对与俄罗斯外交冲突的战略考量。因此，我们假设，对俄罗斯天然气依赖的增加将导致与俄罗斯的外交政策更加趋同。使用1995年至2013年的欧洲国家小组和1979年至2013年间的德国时间序列，我们发现支持我们的论点，即对俄罗斯天然气的依赖程度越高，联合国大会投票模式就越相似。我们的研究表明，俄罗斯向欧洲进口天然气形成了更广泛的政治联盟，增加了对俄罗斯能源武器潜在影响的越来越多的研究。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Foreign Policy Analysis INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS-

CiteScore

3.60

自引率

9.10%

发文量

期刊介绍： Reflecting the diverse, comparative and multidisciplinary nature of the field, Foreign Policy Analysis provides an open forum for research publication that enhances the communication of concepts and ideas across theoretical, methodological, geographical and disciplinary boundaries. By emphasizing accessibility of content for scholars of all perspectives and approaches in the editorial and review process, Foreign Policy Analysis serves as a source for efforts at theoretical and methodological integration and deepening the conceptual debates throughout this rich and complex academic research tradition. Foreign policy analysis, as a field of study, is characterized by its actor-specific focus. The underlying, often implicit argument is that the source of international politics and change in international politics is human beings, acting individually or in groups. In the simplest terms, foreign policy analysis is the study of the process, effects, causes or outputs of foreign policy decision-making in either a comparative or case-specific manner.