Is reduced contact with the formal labor market over time associated with heightened recidivism risk?

IF 1.1 Q3 SOCIAL WORK

Journal of Offender Rehabilitation Pub Date : 2022-08-18 DOI:10.1080/10509674.2022.2093307

S. Kolbeck

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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Abstract This research addresses whether reductions in formal labor market contact over time lead to heightened recidivism risk among the formerly incarcerated. To address this question, this research draws on a sample of 2,050 Ohio ex-prisoners. First, using group-based trajectory modeling, subjects are categorized into four distinct categories of employment stability, reflecting longitudinal trajectories of formal labor market contact. Then, event-history analysis is used to empirically assess the implications of declining contact with the formal labor market on recidivism risk. Results demonstrate that (1) the recidivism risk of subjects with declining employment stability diverges substantially from the recidivism risk of subjects with high stability over time, (2) the recidivism risk of subjects with declining stability converges with the recidivism risk of subjects with low stability or no employment over time, and (3) heightened recidivism risk among subjects with declining stability occurs contemporaneously to reductions in formal labor market contact. Thus, this research provides novel evidence that dislocation from the formal labor market over time heightens recidivism risk among the formerly incarcerated and suggests that employment-based reentry programming may need to increasingly focus on helping the formerly maintain employment over longer periods of time.

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随着时间的推移，与正规劳动力市场的接触减少是否与累犯风险增加有关？

摘要这项研究探讨了随着时间的推移，正式劳动力市场接触的减少是否会导致以前被监禁者再犯风险的增加。为了解决这个问题，这项研究抽取了2050名俄亥俄州前囚犯的样本。首先，使用基于群体的轨迹模型，将受试者分为四类不同的就业稳定性，反映了正式劳动力市场接触的纵向轨迹。然后，使用事件历史分析来实证评估与正规劳动力市场接触减少对累犯风险的影响。结果表明：（1）随着时间的推移，就业稳定性下降的受试者的累犯风险与稳定性高的受试人的累犯危险显著不同，以及（3）稳定性下降的受试者的再犯风险增加与正式劳动力市场接触的减少同时发生。因此，这项研究提供了新的证据，证明随着时间的推移，脱离正规劳动力市场会增加以前被监禁者的再犯风险，并表明基于就业的重返社会计划可能需要越来越专注于帮助以前的人在更长的时间内保持就业。

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来源期刊

Journal of Offender Rehabilitation SOCIAL WORK-

CiteScore

1.60

自引率

0.00%

发文量

期刊介绍： The Journal of Offender Rehabilitation is a multidisciplinary journal of innovation in research, services and programs in criminal justice and corrections. The journal is an essential professional resource for practitioners, educators and researchers who work with individuals involved in the criminal justice system and study the dynamics of rehabilitation and individual and system change. Original research using qualitative or quantitative methodology, theoretical discussions, evaluations of program outcomes, and state of the science reviews will be considered.