Developing sustainable tourism destinations through smart technologies: A system dynamics approach

IF 1.3 4区 工程技术 Q4 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS
Sanaz Shafiee, Saeed Jahanyan, A. R. Ghatari, A. Hasanzadeh
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引用次数: 11

Abstract

ABSTRACT Smart tourism destinations can be considered as a system consisting of a complex set of variables. Developing sustainable destinations through smart technologies requires effective policies to be identified prior to any investment decision making. So, System Dynamics is a good method to see how a set of complex and dynamic variables influence eachother and shape the behaviour of the system and its components over time. In this research a dynamic model is devised to simulate developing smart tourism destinations via smart technologies. The results suggest that about 10 million tourists would be expected to come by 2025 if existing situation persists. The results of this study help to make strategic decisions by policymakers by predicting the behaviour of variables of different subsystems. This study provides a reilable tool to evaluate different policies for realizing tourism sustainability.
通过智能技术开发可持续旅游目的地:系统动力学方法
智能旅游目的地可以看作是一个由复杂变量集合组成的系统。通过智能技术开发可持续目的地需要在做出任何投资决策之前确定有效的政策。因此,系统动力学是一种很好的方法,可以观察一组复杂的动态变量如何相互影响,并随着时间的推移塑造系统及其组件的行为。在本研究中,设计了一个动态模型来模拟利用智能技术开发智慧旅游目的地。结果表明,如果目前的情况持续下去,预计到2025年将有大约1000万游客。本研究的结果有助于决策者通过预测不同子系统变量的行为来制定战略决策。本研究提供了一个可靠的工具来评估实现旅游可持续性的不同政策。
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来源期刊
Journal of Simulation
Journal of Simulation COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS-OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE
CiteScore
5.70
自引率
16.00%
发文量
42
期刊介绍: Journal of Simulation (JOS) aims to publish both articles and technical notes from researchers and practitioners active in the field of simulation. In JOS, the field of simulation includes the techniques, tools, methods and technologies of the application and the use of discrete-event simulation, agent-based modelling and system dynamics.
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