Community College Career and Technical Education and Labor Market Projections: A National Study of Alignment

IF 1.7 Q2 EDUCATION & EDUCATIONAL RESEARCH
Cameron Sublett, Janae Tovar
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

Objective: This study sought to determine how aligned community college students’ declared majors were with long-term occupational projections. In addition, the study explored whether this link was sensitive to entry-level education. Method: The current study merged two disparate sources of national education and economic data to form a novel analytic file. The sample of students who attended public, 2-year community colleges were obtained from the Beginning Postsecondary Students Longitudinal Study (BPS:12/14), which tracked a cohort of students from 2011–2012 through 2013–2014. The second data set featured current and projected jobs numbers organized by the U.S. Department of Labor for the years 2016 and 2026. A series of logistic regression models controlling for both observed and unobserved state-level factors were employed to determine alignment. Results: There did not seem to be a clear correlation between community college students’ choice of career and technical education (CTE) major and labor market projections. Preferred model specifications indicated the decisions to major in the two most remunerative CTE cluster areas (information technology [IT] and Science, Technology, Engineering, & Math [STEM]) were negatively associated with projected market growth in a student’s home state. Contributions: Community colleges are particularly suited to provide the CTE coursework needed to respond to local labor shortages, yet it is not clear from existing research to what degree community college students choose major areas of study in CTE fields based on labor market projections in those fields. These results are of interest to researchers in light of federal policy requiring CTE programs match the current and future needs of local economies.
社区大学职业技术教育与劳动力市场预测:一项全国性的研究
目的:本研究旨在确定社区大学学生申报专业与长期职业预测的一致性。此外,该研究还探讨了这种联系是否对入门级教育敏感。方法:本研究将两个不同来源的国民教育和经济数据合并,形成一个新的分析文件。公立两年制社区大学的学生样本来自于开始高等教育学生纵向研究(BPS:12/14),该研究追踪了2011-2012年至2013-2014年期间的一群学生。第二组数据是由美国劳工部组织的2016年和2026年的当前和预计就业数据。采用一系列逻辑回归模型控制观察到的和未观察到的州一级因素来确定对齐。结果:社区大学生职业技术教育(CTE)专业选择与劳动力市场预测之间似乎没有明显的相关性。首选模型规格表明,选择两个最具报酬的CTE集群领域(信息技术[IT]和科学,技术,工程和数学[STEM])专业的决定与学生所在州的预计市场增长呈负相关。贡献:社区大学特别适合提供应对当地劳动力短缺所需的CTE课程,然而,从现有的研究中尚不清楚社区大学学生根据这些领域的劳动力市场预测在多大程度上选择CTE领域的主要研究领域。这些结果引起了研究人员的兴趣,因为联邦政策要求CTE项目与当地经济当前和未来的需求相匹配。
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来源期刊
Community College Review
Community College Review EDUCATION & EDUCATIONAL RESEARCH-
CiteScore
2.40
自引率
7.70%
发文量
22
期刊介绍: The Community College Review (CCR) has led the nation for over 35 years in the publication of scholarly, peer-reviewed research and commentary on community colleges. CCR welcomes manuscripts dealing with all aspects of community college administration, education, and policy, both within the American higher education system as well as within the higher education systems of other countries that have similar tertiary institutions. All submitted manuscripts undergo a blind review. When manuscripts are not accepted for publication, we offer suggestions for how they might be revised. The ultimate intent is to further discourse about community colleges, their students, and the educators and administrators who work within these institutions.
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