Understanding the Impact of COVID-19 on Agriculture and Food Supply Chains: System Dynamics Modeling for the Resilience of Smallholder Farmers

International Journal on Food System Dynamics Pub Date : 2021-09-11 DOI:10.18461/IJFSD.V12I3.89

Büşra Atamer Balkan, A. Lindqvist, Kelechi Odoemena, R. Lamb, Monique Ann Tiongco, Stueti Gupta, A. Peteru, H. Menendez

引用次数: 2

Abstract

COVID-19 has caused severe agriculture and food supply chain disruptions, significantly affecting smallholder farmers who supply most of the world’s food, specifically their changes in vulnerability, resilience, and food loss and waste. Therefore, the objective of this study was to understand the complex causal and feedback relationships for this system by developing a dynamic hypothesis and causal loop diagrams utilizing the System Dynamics methodology. Results provide a roadmap for dialogue and a framework for case-specific model development and help to guide policy decisions for smallholder farmers’ survival during health crises.

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理解新冠肺炎对农业和食品供应链的影响：小农复原力的系统动力学建模

新冠肺炎造成了严重的农业和粮食供应链中断，严重影响了供应世界大部分粮食的小农户，特别是他们在脆弱性、复原力以及粮食损失和浪费方面的变化。因此，本研究的目的是通过利用系统动力学方法开发动态假设和因果回路图来了解该系统的复杂因果关系和反馈关系。研究结果为对话提供了路线图，为个案模式开发提供了框架，并有助于指导小农户在健康危机期间生存的政策决策。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

International Journal on Food System Dynamics Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Economics, Econometrics and Finance (miscellaneous)

CiteScore

1.60

自引率

0.00%

发文量

期刊介绍： Understanding the development of the food system requires a system view that captures the complexity of the system and its many interrelationships with its economic, social and natural environments. The Journal accepts and offers papers within this broad range of issues focussing on the management, policy, marketing, consumer aspects, transparency, e-commerce, institutional or regional development, information and communication systems, ressource economics, production economics, chain management, network economics, and similar aspects. Papers may focus on modeling, empirical research or theoretical analyis. This broad range of publication opportunities asks authors to follow clear lines of arguments and to present arguments in a convincing way that avoids unnecessary complexities of model formulations if not relevant for the support of arguments. The publication of scientific articles is complemented by a number of sections that provide room for publications with a more specific focus: ''Case studies'': A section on case studies of the ''Harvard Type'' allows the publication of studies that might build on established scientific methodology but demonstrate its use in ceratin decision environments. Case studies might be complemented by ''teaching cases'' that are kept on a database outside the journal but accessible to readers on approval by authors. ''Research Forum'': It allows to discuss newly emerging research challenges or to contribute to ongoing scientific discussions on research problems. In addition, authors might initiate a discussion on issues brought up by articles published in the journal. ''Research Notes'': It provides room for specific shorter scientific contributions with a narrow scope.