Determinants of arable crop farmers’ decisions to adapt to climate change risks in Nigeria

IF 0.4 Q4 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY

African Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics-AFJARE Pub Date : 2023-06-30 DOI:10.53936/afjare.2023.18(1).1

Anthony Ojonimi Onoja

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Abstract

This study ascertained the influence of farmers’ perceptions of climate change effects and their household characteristics on the choice of adaptation technologies they adopt. The survey relied mainly on institutional and primary data for its analysis. Primary data was obtained from arable crop farmers using a set of structured questionnaires administered in a multi-stage, stratified random sampling manner. Sixty (60) farmers were selected from randomly selected states for the five agroclimatic zones in Nigeria, giving a total sample size of 300 farmers. The collected data was analysed using Heckman’s probit selectivity model. It was found that extension contact, gender of the head of household, temperature and rainfall levels determined the decision to adapt to climate change. The respective Z estimates of these aspects were 5.75 (p < 0.01), 5.30 (p < 0.01), 2.32 (p < 0.01) and -9.50 (p < 0.01). However, the farmers’ perceptions of climate change effects were determined by education and agricultural extension access. The Z values for these were 5.42 (p < 0.01) and 2.86 (p < 0.01) respectively. The researcher recommends urgent measures to help farmers adapt to climate change, such as the establishment of weather stations and building the capacities of farmers, especially women.

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尼日利亚可耕地作物农民适应气候变化风险的决定因素

这项研究确定了农民对气候变化影响的看法及其家庭特征对他们选择适应技术的影响。调查主要依靠机构和原始数据进行分析。主要数据是使用一组结构化问卷从种植作物的农民那里获得的，该问卷以多阶段、分层随机抽样的方式进行管理。从尼日利亚五个农业气候区随机选择的州中选出六十（60）名农民，总样本量为300名农民。使用Heckman的probit选择性模型对收集的数据进行分析。研究发现，扩展接触、户主性别、温度和降雨量决定了适应气候变化的决定。这些方面的Z估计值分别为5.75（p<0.01）、5.30（p<0.01），2.32（p<0.01）和-9.50（p<0.01）。然而，农民对气候变化影响的感知是由教育和农业推广机会决定的。其Z值分别为5.42（p<0.01）和2.86（p<0.01）。研究人员建议采取紧急措施帮助农民适应气候变化，例如建立气象站和建设农民，特别是妇女的能力。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

African Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics-AFJARE AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY-

CiteScore

1.20

自引率

16.70%

发文量

期刊介绍： The African Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics (AfJARE)/Journal Africain d’Economie Agricole et des Ressources (JAEAR) is a publication of the African Association of Agricultural Economists (AAAE). The journal publishes original research about how African agriculture interacts with local and global economic systems and policy regimes in its impacts upon people. The scope of the journal covers the roles of markets, technology, policy, institutions and the natural environment in shaping the lives of well being of Africans engaged in agricultural activities. The journal strives to nurture and enhance the capacity of African professionals to conduct and publish scientific research and provides a venue for communicating and disseminating their findings. Multi-disciplinary, problem-oriented articles are encouraged. Submissions may deal with teaching, research extension, consulting, advising, entrepreneurship and administration. The Chief Editors and Editorial Board, under the general direction of the AAAE President, Executive Committee and Council are charged with implementing Journal policy to serve members of AAAE. The main section of the journal publishes technical research articles while a small section is devoted to publishing brief notes with important policy content and book reviews. The journal is a quarterly publication.

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