Synchronization and cyclicality of social spending in economic crises.

IF 1.9 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS
Empirica Pub Date : 2022-01-01 Epub Date: 2022-08-06 DOI:10.1007/s10663-022-09545-w
Luis Ayala-Cañón, María Jesús Delgado-Rodríguez, Sonia De Lucas-Santos
{"title":"Synchronization and cyclicality of social spending in economic crises.","authors":"Luis Ayala-Cañón,&nbsp;María Jesús Delgado-Rodríguez,&nbsp;Sonia De Lucas-Santos","doi":"10.1007/s10663-022-09545-w","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>This paper expands the analysis of the cyclical characteristics of social spending by providing information on its joint behaviour across OECD countries. With this aim we propose the use of dynamic factor analysis and recursive models to estimate synchronization and cyclicality of social policies within a broad perspective. By considering the synchronization of social spending it is possible to assess the short-run characteristics of the joint response to changes in the economic cycle. We find that synchronization of social spending was only possible for advanced economies, achieving the highest countercyclical stabilization effect during the Global Financial Crisis. Emerging market economies are not able to join the synchronized response, maintaining independent and, in most cases, procyclical stances in the behaviour of their social policies.</p><p><strong>Supplementary information: </strong>The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10663-022-09545-w.</p>","PeriodicalId":46526,"journal":{"name":"Empirica","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.9000,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9362061/pdf/","citationCount":"2","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Empirica","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10663-022-09545-w","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"2022/8/6 0:00:00","PubModel":"Epub","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2

Abstract

This paper expands the analysis of the cyclical characteristics of social spending by providing information on its joint behaviour across OECD countries. With this aim we propose the use of dynamic factor analysis and recursive models to estimate synchronization and cyclicality of social policies within a broad perspective. By considering the synchronization of social spending it is possible to assess the short-run characteristics of the joint response to changes in the economic cycle. We find that synchronization of social spending was only possible for advanced economies, achieving the highest countercyclical stabilization effect during the Global Financial Crisis. Emerging market economies are not able to join the synchronized response, maintaining independent and, in most cases, procyclical stances in the behaviour of their social policies.

Supplementary information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10663-022-09545-w.

Abstract Image

Abstract Image

Abstract Image

经济危机中社会支出的同步性和周期性。
本文通过提供经合组织国家社会支出共同行为的信息,扩展了对社会支出周期性特征的分析。为此,我们建议使用动态因素分析和递归模型来广泛评估社会政策的同步性和周期性。通过考虑社会支出的同步性,就有可能评估对经济周期变化的联合反应的短期特征。我们发现,只有发达经济体才有可能实现社会支出的同步,在全球金融危机期间实现了最高的逆周期稳定效应。新兴市场经济体无法加入同步反应,在其社会政策行为上保持独立的、在多数情况下是顺周期的立场。补充信息:在线版本包含补充资料,提供地址:10.1007/s10663-022-09545-w。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
求助全文
约1分钟内获得全文 求助全文
来源期刊
Empirica
Empirica ECONOMICS-
CiteScore
2.70
自引率
7.70%
发文量
24
期刊介绍: Empirica is a peer-reviewed journal, which publishes original research of general interest to an international audience. Authors are invited to submit empirical papers in all areas of economics with a particular focus on European economies. Per January 2021, the editors also solicit descriptive papers on current or unexplored topics. Founded in 1974, Empirica is the official journal of the Nationalökonomische Gesellschaft (Austrian Economic Association) and is published in cooperation with Austrian Institute of Economic Research (WIFO). The journal aims at a wide international audience and invites submissions from economists around the world. Officially cited as: Empirica
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
确定
请完成安全验证×
copy
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
右上角分享
点击右上角分享
0
联系我们:info@booksci.cn Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。 Copyright © 2023 布克学术 All rights reserved.
京ICP备2023020795号-1
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术官方微信