STRUCTURAL ECONOMIC CHANGE AND INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION FROM MEXICO AND POLAND.

IF 1.1 3区 社会学 Q4 PSYCHOLOGY, SOCIAL
Douglas S Massey, Frank Kalter, Karen A Pren
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

In this article we use uniquely comparable data sets from two very different settings to examine how exogenous economic transformations affect the likelihood and selectivity of international out-migration. Specifically, we use data from the Mexican Migration Project to construct event history files predicting first U.S. trips from seven communities in the state of Veracruz, which until recently sent very few migrants abroad. Similarly, using data from the Polish Migration Project, we derive comparable event history files predicting first trips to Germany from four Polish communities, which also sent few migrants abroad before the 1980s. Our analyses suggest that the onset of structural adjustment in both places had a significant effect in raising the probability of international migration, even when controlling for a set of standard variables specified by other theories to influence migration propensity, such as the size of the binational income gap and various indicators of human and social capital.

结构性经济变化和国际移民来自墨西哥和波兰。
在本文中,我们使用来自两个非常不同环境的独特可比较数据集来研究外生经济转型如何影响国际外迁的可能性和选择性。具体来说,我们使用来自墨西哥移民项目的数据来构建事件历史文件,预测来自韦拉克鲁斯州七个社区的第一次美国旅行,这些社区直到最近才将很少的移民送到国外。同样,使用波兰移民项目的数据,我们得出了可比较的事件历史文件,预测了四个波兰社区首次前往德国的旅行,这些社区在20世纪80年代之前也很少有移民出国。我们的分析表明,即使在控制了其他理论指定的影响移民倾向的一组标准变量(如两国收入差距的大小以及人力和社会资本的各种指标)的情况下,两地开始的结构调整对提高国际移民的可能性也有显著影响。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.30
自引率
6.70%
发文量
55
期刊介绍: The sociology journal Kölner Zeitschrift für Soziologie und Sozialpsychologie (KZfSS) ("Cologne Journal of Sociology and Social Psychology") was founded in 1948 by the Cologne sociologist Leopold von Wiese as the Kölner Zeitschrift für Soziologie. His successor, René König, broadened the journal''s scope towards social psychological topics, including cultural sociology and qualitative social research, which gave the journal its current name. KZfSS is the most important sociological publication in the German-speaking world in terms of its scope and distribution. It publishes comprehensively on German sociological research in all disciplines and regularly communicates research results from many countries around the world. KZfSS follows the model of a universal sociology journal. In addition to more than 40 double-blind peer-reviewed original research articles per year, it publishes detailed literature reviews and book reviews of German and international literature in a comprehensive review section. The journal thus provides a forum for sociological research and open discussion. Special emphasis is placed on offering young colleagues an opportunity for their first publication. The journal is included in many renowned scientific Abstracting & Indexing databases such as the Social Science Citation Index. In addition to the four annual issues, a supplement coordinated by guest editors is published annually.
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