Establishing trends in ATSIC regional council populations using census data: a cautionary note.

J C Altman, K H Gaminiratne
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

"This paper points out that limitations in official census data for Aborigines and Torres Strait Islanders draw into question the validity of trend analysis based on time series data for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Commission (ATSIC) regional council areas.... Following discussion of [the] problems, detailed figures showing changes in the size of the Aboriginal and Islander populations and labour force in each council area are presented using 1976 as the base year. As expected, geographic patterns of population and labour-force change are difficult to discern and exact reasons for comparative growth or decline are impossible to determine. The paper concludes that reverse projections for regional council areas using 1991 Census data would provide a more reliable basis for establishing demographic trends."

利用人口普查数据确定ATSIC区域理事会人口的趋势:一个警示性说明。
“本文指出,土著人和托雷斯海峡岛民官方人口普查数据的局限性,使人们对基于土著人和托雷斯海峡岛民委员会(ATSIC)区域理事会地区时间序列数据的趋势分析的有效性提出了质疑....在讨论了这些问题之后,以1976年为基准年,列出了显示每个理事会地区土著和岛民人口和劳动力规模变化的详细数字。正如预期的那样,人口和劳动力变化的地理格局难以辨别,相对增长或下降的确切原因也无法确定。该文件的结论是,利用1991年人口普查数据对区域理事会地区进行反向预测将为确定人口趋势提供更可靠的基础。”
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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