The duration of residence approach to a dynamic stochastic model of internal migration: A test of the axiom of cumulative inertia.

Abstract

Abstract The data presented indicate a definite trend that tends to support the axiom of cumulative inertia. The probabilities of movement decline by increasing duration of residence for each year. Not only is information on duration of residence an important element in any study of migration, but it also provides a necessary modification for the Markov chain approach to migration probabilities. Future studies of the mathematical model will require data that will satisfy the criteria stipulated in this paper and will be of sufficient quantity to assure reliable within‐cell probabilities of movement.