Digital capability and rural household development resilience: A double machine learning approach

IF 5.7 1区社会学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY

Journal of Rural Studies Pub Date : 2025-09-27 DOI:10.1016/j.jrurstud.2025.103900

Hanjie Wang, Hao Leng, Wenpeng Huang, Jiali Han

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Abstract

This paper examines the effect of digital capability on the rural household development resilience. Using data from the China Family Panel Studies (CFPS), we first measure the development resilience of rural households using moment estimation, defined as the probability that a household's welfare exceeds a specified threshold at a given time. Subsequently, we employ the double machine learning model to evaluate the effect of digital capability on household resilience. The results indicate that digital capability significantly enhances the rural household development resilience. Further mechanism analyses reveal that digital capability boosts development resilience primarily through the effects of information acquisition, financial inclusion, income growth, and asset accumulation. Additionally, the resilience-enhancing effect of digital capability is particularly beneficial for disadvantaged groups with low level of development resilience, limited human capital and social capital, contributing to inclusive development. Accordingly, this paper argues that fostering digital capability is crucial for the sustainable development of rural households.

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数字能力与农村家庭发展弹性：双重机器学习方法

本文考察了数字能力对农村家庭发展弹性的影响。利用中国家庭面板研究（CFPS）的数据，我们首先使用矩估计来衡量农村家庭的发展弹性，矩估计被定义为一个家庭的福利在给定时间超过特定阈值的概率。随后，我们采用双机器学习模型来评估数字能力对家庭弹性的影响。结果表明，数字化能力显著增强了农户的发展韧性。进一步的机制分析表明，数字能力提升发展弹性主要是通过信息获取、普惠金融、收入增长和资产积累的影响。此外，数字能力的复原力增强效应对发展复原力水平低、人力资本和社会资本有限的弱势群体尤其有利，有助于包容性发展。因此，本文认为培育数字能力对农村家庭的可持续发展至关重要。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Journal of Rural Studies Multiple-

CiteScore

9.80

自引率

9.80%

发文量

286

期刊介绍： The Journal of Rural Studies publishes research articles relating to such rural issues as society, demography, housing, employment, transport, services, land-use, recreation, agriculture and conservation. The focus is on those areas encompassing extensive land-use, with small-scale and diffuse settlement patterns and communities linked into the surrounding landscape and milieux. Particular emphasis will be given to aspects of planning policy and management. The journal is international and interdisciplinary in scope and content.