{"title":"Analysis of the Drivers of Farmers’ Willingness To Exit Rural Homesteads from a Sustainable Livelihood Perspective","authors":"YueDong Zhang","doi":"10.1007/s12061-025-09709-8","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Based on the perspective of sustainable livelihoods, this study constructs a two-dimensional analysis framework of ‘livelihood capital-geospatial resource endowment’, combines this framework with data from the 2020–2022 land economic survey of Jiangsu Province, China, and adopts the combined machine learning approach of Random Forest and SHAP to systematically explore the decision-making mechanism underlying farmers’ paid withdrawal from rural homesteads. The study reveals that: (1) Geospatial resource endowment exerts a significantly stronger influence than livelihood capital on explaining farmers’ willingness to withdraw; (2) The drivers exhibit an effect characterized by ‘low promotion, high inhibition’; (3)There is heterogeneity in interaction strength across different indicator categories,, and complex synergistic relationships exist among the drivers.This study proposes a spatially differentiated governance approach for rural homesteads based on regional resource endowments. Implementing property-based utilization strategies can enhance resource efficiency while preserving farmers’ ownership rights. Moving beyond the conventional single-capital paradigm, this study offers theoretical and practical insights for rural homestead reform in developing countries seeking context-specific governance pathways.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":46392,"journal":{"name":"Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy","volume":"18 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.9000,"publicationDate":"2025-08-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy","FirstCategoryId":"90","ListUrlMain":"https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s12061-025-09709-8","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Based on the perspective of sustainable livelihoods, this study constructs a two-dimensional analysis framework of ‘livelihood capital-geospatial resource endowment’, combines this framework with data from the 2020–2022 land economic survey of Jiangsu Province, China, and adopts the combined machine learning approach of Random Forest and SHAP to systematically explore the decision-making mechanism underlying farmers’ paid withdrawal from rural homesteads. The study reveals that: (1) Geospatial resource endowment exerts a significantly stronger influence than livelihood capital on explaining farmers’ willingness to withdraw; (2) The drivers exhibit an effect characterized by ‘low promotion, high inhibition’; (3)There is heterogeneity in interaction strength across different indicator categories,, and complex synergistic relationships exist among the drivers.This study proposes a spatially differentiated governance approach for rural homesteads based on regional resource endowments. Implementing property-based utilization strategies can enhance resource efficiency while preserving farmers’ ownership rights. Moving beyond the conventional single-capital paradigm, this study offers theoretical and practical insights for rural homestead reform in developing countries seeking context-specific governance pathways.
期刊介绍：
Description
The journal has an applied focus: it actively promotes the importance of geographical research in real world settings
It is policy-relevant: it seeks both a readership and contributions from practitioners as well as academics
The substantive foundation is spatial analysis: the use of quantitative techniques to identify patterns and processes within geographic environments
The combination of these points, which are fully reflected in the naming of the journal, establishes a unique position in the marketplace.
RationaleA geographical perspective has always been crucial to the understanding of the social and physical organisation of the world around us. The techniques of spatial analysis provide a powerful means for the assembly and interpretation of evidence, and thus to address critical questions about issues such as crime and deprivation, immigration and demographic restructuring, retailing activity and employment change, resource management and environmental improvement. Many of these issues are equally important to academic research as they are to policy makers and Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy aims to close the gap between these two perspectives by providing a forum for discussion of applied research in a range of different contexts
Topical and interdisciplinaryIncreasingly government organisations, administrative agencies and private businesses are requiring research to support their ‘evidence-based’ strategies or policies. Geographical location is critical in much of this work which extends across a wide range of disciplines including demography, actuarial sciences, statistics, public sector planning, business planning, economics, epidemiology, sociology, social policy, health research, environmental management.
FocusApplied Spatial Analysis and Policy will draw on applied research from diverse problem domains, such as transport, policing, education, health, environment and leisure, in different international contexts. The journal will therefore provide insights into the variations in phenomena that exist across space, it will provide evidence for comparative policy analysis between domains and between locations, and stimulate ideas about the translation of spatial analysis methods and techniques across varied policy contexts. It is essential to know how to measure, monitor and understand spatial distributions, many of which have implications for those with responsibility to plan and enhance the society and the environment in which we all exist.
Readership and Editorial BoardAs a journal focused on applications of methods of spatial analysis, Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy will be of interest to scholars and students in a wide range of academic fields, to practitioners in government and administrative agencies and to consultants in private sector organisations. The Editorial Board reflects the international and multidisciplinary nature of the journal.
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