Pieter A. Zuidema, Peter Groenendijk, Mizanur Rahman, Valerie Trouet, Abrham Abiyu, Rodolfo Acuña-Soto, Eduardo Adenesky-Filho, Raquel Alfaro-Sánchez, Claudio Roberto Anholetto Jr, José Roberto Vieira Aragão, Gabriel Assis-Pereira, Claudia C. Astudillo-Sánchez, Ana Carolina Barbosa, Giovanna Battipaglia, Hans Beeckman, Paulo Cesar Botosso, Nils Bourland, Achim Bräuning, Roel Brienen, Matthew Brookhouse, Supaporn Buajan, Brendan M. Buckley, J. Julio Camarero, Artemio Carrillo-Parra, Gregório Ceccantini, Librado R. Centeno-Erguera, Julián Cerano-Paredes, Rosalinda Cervantes-Martínez, Wirong Chanthorn, Ya-Jun Chen, Bruno Barçante Ladvocat Cintra, Eladio Heriberto Cornejo-Oviedo, Otoniel Cortés-Cortés, Clayane Matos Costa, Camille Couralet, Doris Bianca Crispín-De-La-Cruz, Rosanne D’arrigo, Diego A. David, Maaike De Ridder, Jorge Ignacio Del Valle, Mário Dobner Jr, Jean-Louis Doucet, Oliver Dünisch, Brian J. Enquist, Karin Esemann-Quadros, Gerardo Esquivel-Arriaga, Ze-Xin Fan, Adeline Fayolle, Tatiele Anete Bergamo Fenilli, M. Eugenia Ferrero, Esther Fichtler, Patrick M. Finnegan, Claudia Fontana, Kainana S. Francisco, Pei-Li Fu, Franklin Galvão, Aster Gebrekirstos, Jorge A. Giraldo, Emanuel Gloor, Milena Godoy-Veiga, Daniela Granato-Souza, Anthony Guerra, Kristof Haneca, Grant Logan Harley, Ingo Heinrich, Gerhard Helle, Bruna Hornink, Wannes Hubau, Janet G. Inga, Mahmuda Islam, Yu-Mei Jiang, Mark Kaib, Zakia Hassan Khamisi, Marcin Koprowski, Eva Layme, A. Joshua Leffler, Gauthier Ligot, Claudio Sergio Lisi, Neil J. Loader, Francisco De Almeida Lobo, Giuliano Maselli Locosselli, Tomaz Longhi-Santos, Lidio Lopez, María I. López-Hernández, José Luís Penetra Cerveira Lousada, Rubén D. Manzanedo, Amanda K. Marcon, Justin T. Maxwell, Omar N. Mendoza-Villa, Ítallo Romany Nunes Menezes, Mulugeta Mokria, Valdinez Ribeiro Montóia, Eddy Moors, Miyer Moreno, Miguel Angel Muñiz-Castro, Cristina Nabais, Anuttara Nathalang, Justine Ngoma, Francisco De Carvalho Nogueira Jr, Juliano Morales Oliveira, Gabriela Morais Olmedo, Daigard Ricardo Ortega-Rodriguez, Carmen Eugenia Rodríguez Ortíz, Mariana Alves Pagotto, Shankar Panthi, Kathelyn Paredes-Villanueva, Gonzalo Pérez-de-Lis, Laura Patricia Ponce Calderón, Leif Armando Portal-Cahuana, Darwin Alexander Pucha-Cofrep, Nathsuda Pumijumnong, Paulo Quadri, Jorge Andrés Ramírez, Edilson Jimmy Requena-Rojas, Judith Reyes-Flores, Adauto de Souza Ribeiro, Iain Robertson, Fidel Alejandro Roig, José Guilherme Roquette, Ernesto Alonso Rubio-Camacho, Raúl Sánchez-Salguero, Ute Sass-Klaassen, Jochen Schöngart, Marcelo Callegari Scipioni, Paul R. Sheppard, Lucas C.R. Silva, Franziska Slotta, Leroy Soria-Díaz, Luciana K.V.S. Sousa, James H. Speer, Matthew D. Therrell, Ginette Ticse-Otarola, Mario Tomazello-Filho, Max C.A. Torbenson, Pantana Tor-Ngern, Ramzi Touchan, Jan Van den Bulcke, Lorenzo Vázquez-Selem, Adín H. Velázquez-Pérez, Alejandro Venegas-González, Ricardo Villalba, Jose Villanueva-Diaz, Mart Vlam, George Vourlitis, Christian Wehenkel, Tommy Wils, Erika S. Zavaleta, Eshetu Asfaw Zewdu, Yong-Jiang Zhang, Zhe-Kun Zhou, Flurin Babst
{"title":"Pantropical tree rings show small effects of drought on stem growth","authors":"Pieter A. Zuidema, Peter Groenendijk, Mizanur Rahman, Valerie Trouet, Abrham Abiyu, Rodolfo Acuña-Soto, Eduardo Adenesky-Filho, Raquel Alfaro-Sánchez, Claudio Roberto Anholetto Jr, José Roberto Vieira Aragão, Gabriel Assis-Pereira, Claudia C. Astudillo-Sánchez, Ana Carolina Barbosa, Giovanna Battipaglia, Hans Beeckman, Paulo Cesar Botosso, Nils Bourland, Achim Bräuning, Roel Brienen, Matthew Brookhouse, Supaporn Buajan, Brendan M. Buckley, J. Julio Camarero, Artemio Carrillo-Parra, Gregório Ceccantini, Librado R. Centeno-Erguera, Julián Cerano-Paredes, Rosalinda Cervantes-Martínez, Wirong Chanthorn, Ya-Jun Chen, Bruno Barçante Ladvocat Cintra, Eladio Heriberto Cornejo-Oviedo, Otoniel Cortés-Cortés, Clayane Matos Costa, Camille Couralet, Doris Bianca Crispín-De-La-Cruz, Rosanne D’arrigo, Diego A. David, Maaike De Ridder, Jorge Ignacio Del Valle, Mário Dobner Jr, Jean-Louis Doucet, Oliver Dünisch, Brian J. Enquist, Karin Esemann-Quadros, Gerardo Esquivel-Arriaga, Ze-Xin Fan, Adeline Fayolle, Tatiele Anete Bergamo Fenilli, M. Eugenia Ferrero, Esther Fichtler, Patrick M. Finnegan, Claudia Fontana, Kainana S. Francisco, Pei-Li Fu, Franklin Galvão, Aster Gebrekirstos, Jorge A. Giraldo, Emanuel Gloor, Milena Godoy-Veiga, Daniela Granato-Souza, Anthony Guerra, Kristof Haneca, Grant Logan Harley, Ingo Heinrich, Gerhard Helle, Bruna Hornink, Wannes Hubau, Janet G. Inga, Mahmuda Islam, Yu-Mei Jiang, Mark Kaib, Zakia Hassan Khamisi, Marcin Koprowski, Eva Layme, A. Joshua Leffler, Gauthier Ligot, Claudio Sergio Lisi, Neil J. Loader, Francisco De Almeida Lobo, Giuliano Maselli Locosselli, Tomaz Longhi-Santos, Lidio Lopez, María I. López-Hernández, José Luís Penetra Cerveira Lousada, Rubén D. Manzanedo, Amanda K. Marcon, Justin T. Maxwell, Omar N. Mendoza-Villa, Ítallo Romany Nunes Menezes, Mulugeta Mokria, Valdinez Ribeiro Montóia, Eddy Moors, Miyer Moreno, Miguel Angel Muñiz-Castro, Cristina Nabais, Anuttara Nathalang, Justine Ngoma, Francisco De Carvalho Nogueira Jr, Juliano Morales Oliveira, Gabriela Morais Olmedo, Daigard Ricardo Ortega-Rodriguez, Carmen Eugenia Rodríguez Ortíz, Mariana Alves Pagotto, Shankar Panthi, Kathelyn Paredes-Villanueva, Gonzalo Pérez-de-Lis, Laura Patricia Ponce Calderón, Leif Armando Portal-Cahuana, Darwin Alexander Pucha-Cofrep, Nathsuda Pumijumnong, Paulo Quadri, Jorge Andrés Ramírez, Edilson Jimmy Requena-Rojas, Judith Reyes-Flores, Adauto de Souza Ribeiro, Iain Robertson, Fidel Alejandro Roig, José Guilherme Roquette, Ernesto Alonso Rubio-Camacho, Raúl Sánchez-Salguero, Ute Sass-Klaassen, Jochen Schöngart, Marcelo Callegari Scipioni, Paul R. Sheppard, Lucas C.R. Silva, Franziska Slotta, Leroy Soria-Díaz, Luciana K.V.S. Sousa, James H. Speer, Matthew D. Therrell, Ginette Ticse-Otarola, Mario Tomazello-Filho, Max C.A. Torbenson, Pantana Tor-Ngern, Ramzi Touchan, Jan Van den Bulcke, Lorenzo Vázquez-Selem, Adín H. Velázquez-Pérez, Alejandro Venegas-González, Ricardo Villalba, Jose Villanueva-Diaz, Mart Vlam, George Vourlitis, Christian Wehenkel, Tommy Wils, Erika S. Zavaleta, Eshetu Asfaw Zewdu, Yong-Jiang Zhang, Zhe-Kun Zhou, Flurin Babst","doi":"10.1126/science.adq6607","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div >Increasing drought pressure under anthropogenic climate change may jeopardize the potential of tropical forests to capture carbon in woody biomass and act as a long-term carbon dioxide sink. To evaluate this risk, we assessed drought impacts in 483 tree-ring chronologies from across the tropics and found an overall modest stem growth decline (2.5% with a 95% confidence interval of 2.2 to 2.7%) during the 10% driest years since 1930. Stem growth declines exceeded 10% in 25% of cases and were larger at hotter and drier sites and for gymnosperms compared with angiosperms. Growth declines generally did not outlast drought years and were partially mitigated by growth stimulation in wet years. Thus, pantropical forest carbon sequestration through stem growth has hitherto shown drought resilience that may, however, diminish under future climate change.</div>","PeriodicalId":21678,"journal":{"name":"Science","volume":"389 6759","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":45.8000,"publicationDate":"2025-07-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Science","FirstCategoryId":"103","ListUrlMain":"https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.adq6607","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"综合性期刊","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Increasing drought pressure under anthropogenic climate change may jeopardize the potential of tropical forests to capture carbon in woody biomass and act as a long-term carbon dioxide sink. To evaluate this risk, we assessed drought impacts in 483 tree-ring chronologies from across the tropics and found an overall modest stem growth decline (2.5% with a 95% confidence interval of 2.2 to 2.7%) during the 10% driest years since 1930. Stem growth declines exceeded 10% in 25% of cases and were larger at hotter and drier sites and for gymnosperms compared with angiosperms. Growth declines generally did not outlast drought years and were partially mitigated by growth stimulation in wet years. Thus, pantropical forest carbon sequestration through stem growth has hitherto shown drought resilience that may, however, diminish under future climate change.
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