Global levels of potential risk of Tagosodes orizicolus (Hemiptera: Delphacidae) in the present and future due to climate change

IF 2.5 2区农林科学 Q1 AGRONOMY

Crop Protection Pub Date : 2025-07-10 DOI:10.1016/j.cropro.2025.107334

José Carlos B. dos Santos , Jhersyka da S. Paes , Damaris R. de Freitas , Letícia Caroline da S. Sant’Ana , Darliane M. dos Reis , Sancler Victor B. do Carmo , Natália de S. Ribas , Ricardo S. da Silva , Marcelo C. Picanço

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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Biological invasions of insect pests can cause economic losses and alter the composition and structure of arthropod communities. For these insects to be successful, the invaded areas must be suitable for them. Tagosodes orizicolus (Hemiptera: Delphacidae) is one of the most harmful pests of rice crops and is not yet present in important rice-producing countries. Thus, the aim of this study was to determine the global levels of potential risk of T. orizicolus at present and in the future due to climate change. The current and future suitability of areas of the world for the pest was determined using maximum entropy ecological niche models. There are areas in the Americas (region of origin), Africa, Asia, Oceania and Europe suitable for the pest. It is predicted the increase in areas suitable for the species on all continents. In conclusion, the global levels of potential pest risk determined in this study can be used in the development of strategies to prevent its introduction and establishment in new areas, as well as for monitoring programs for this insect in areas of current occurrence.

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气候变化对当前和未来全球褐飞虱（半翅目：褐飞虱科）潜在风险的影响

害虫的生物入侵会造成经济损失，并改变节肢动物群落的组成和结构。这些昆虫要想成功生存，入侵地区必须适合它们生存。稻谷飞虱是水稻作物最有害的害虫之一，在重要的水稻生产国尚未出现。因此，本研究的目的是确定目前和未来全球因气候变化而面临的潜在风险水平。利用最大熵生态位模型确定了世界各地区对该有害生物的当前和未来适宜性。美洲（原产区）、非洲、亚洲、大洋洲和欧洲都有适合这种害虫的地区。据预测，各大洲适合该物种生存的地区将会增加。总之，本研究确定的全球潜在有害生物风险水平可用于制定防止其在新地区引入和建立的策略，以及在现有发生地区对该昆虫的监测计划。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Crop Protection 农林科学-农艺学

CiteScore

6.10

自引率

3.60%

发文量

200

审稿时长

29 days

期刊介绍： The Editors of Crop Protection especially welcome papers describing an interdisciplinary approach showing how different control strategies can be integrated into practical pest management programs, covering high and low input agricultural systems worldwide. Crop Protection particularly emphasizes the practical aspects of control in the field and for protected crops, and includes work which may lead in the near future to more effective control. The journal does not duplicate the many existing excellent biological science journals, which deal mainly with the more fundamental aspects of plant pathology, applied zoology and weed science. Crop Protection covers all practical aspects of pest, disease and weed control, including the following topics: -Abiotic damage- Agronomic control methods- Assessment of pest and disease damage- Molecular methods for the detection and assessment of pests and diseases- Biological control- Biorational pesticides- Control of animal pests of world crops- Control of diseases of crop plants caused by microorganisms- Control of weeds and integrated management- Economic considerations- Effects of plant growth regulators- Environmental benefits of reduced pesticide use- Environmental effects of pesticides- Epidemiology of pests and diseases in relation to control- GM Crops, and genetic engineering applications- Importance and control of postharvest crop losses- Integrated control- Interrelationships and compatibility among different control strategies- Invasive species as they relate to implications for crop protection- Pesticide application methods- Pest management- Phytobiomes for pest and disease control- Resistance management- Sampling and monitoring schemes for diseases, nematodes, pests and weeds.