Recognizing Certainty in Uncomfortable Uncertainty

Scott Wich
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Abstract

Every day we face uncertainty, unless one subscribes to a hypothesis that our lives are entirely predetermined. Even as websites and artificial intelligence improve our ability to predict the future, an omnipresent variability remains. We may know that traffic will be heavy during tomorrow morning's commute; however, will there be an accident that snarls traffic? We may know that it will rain on Sunday afternoon, but will it hold off until after your child's baseball game? We can plan our workday calendars and to-do lists in great detail, but we can never be certain when a machine will go down or a customer have an urgent need.

在令人不安的不确定性中认识到确定性
我们每天都面临着不确定性,除非有人同意我们的生活完全是预先确定的假设。即使网站和人工智能提高了我们预测未来的能力,但无处不在的变化仍然存在。我们可能知道明天早上上下班的时候交通会很拥挤;然而,会发生交通堵塞的事故吗?我们可能知道周日下午会下雨,但会等到孩子的棒球比赛结束后再下雨吗?我们可以非常详细地计划我们的工作日日历和待办事项清单,但我们永远无法确定什么时候机器会出故障,或者什么时候客户有紧急需求。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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