Survival determinants and prediction for Airbnb listings

IF 9.9 1区管理学 Q1 HOSPITALITY, LEISURE, SPORT & TOURISM

International Journal of Hospitality Management Pub Date : 2025-02-28 DOI:10.1016/j.ijhm.2025.104132

Mingming Hu , Limei Yang , Jinah Park , Minkun Liu

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引用次数: 0

Abstract

This study assesses these events’ effects on business survival and alleviation strategies in the context of peer-to-peer (P2P) accommodation sharing. We specifically examined the COVID-19 pandemic’s impact on Airbnb in Shanghai, China. Results indicated a decline in listings’ average survival probability from 56.84 % to 50.08 % after the outbreak, with this downturn being more severe in 2020 than in 2021. Based on dynamic capabilities theory and Aristotle’s rhetorical theory, trust was found to play a significant moderating role: higher response rates and review ratings could attenuate the observed negative effect, whereas larger accommodation capacities may intensify it. We also developed models to predict Airbnb listings’ survival probability and identify factors influencing longevity. The best-performing prediction model (i.e., a random forest model) highlighted the listing’s age and COVID-19 incidence as key in predicting a listing’s survival. This study enriches theories in tourism and hospitality and points to techniques for fortifying businesses’ resilience.

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来源期刊

International Journal of Hospitality Management HOSPITALITY, LEISURE, SPORT & TOURISM-

CiteScore

21.20

自引率

9.40%

发文量

218

审稿时长

85 days

期刊介绍： The International Journal of Hospitality Management serves as a platform for discussing significant trends and advancements in various disciplines related to the hospitality industry. The publication covers a wide range of topics, including human resources management, consumer behavior and marketing, business forecasting and applied economics, operational management, strategic management, financial management, planning and design, information technology and e-commerce, training and development, technological developments, and national and international legislation. In addition to covering these topics, the journal features research papers, state-of-the-art reviews, and analyses of business practices within the hospitality industry. It aims to provide readers with valuable insights and knowledge in order to advance research and improve practices in the field. The journal is also indexed and abstracted in various databases, including the Journal of Travel Research, PIRA, Academic Journal Guide, Documentation Touristique, Leisure, Recreation and Tourism Abstracts, Lodging and Restaurant Index, Scopus, CIRET, and the Social Sciences Citation Index. This ensures that the journal's content is widely accessible and discoverable by researchers and practitioners in the hospitality field.