{"title":"Regional Cerebral Atrophy Contributes to Personalized Survival Prediction in Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis: A Multicentre, Machine Learning, Deformation-Based Morphometry Study.","authors":"Isabelle Lajoie, Sanjay Kalra, Mahsa Dadar","doi":"10.1002/ana.27196","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objective: </strong>Accurate personalized survival prediction in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis is essential for effective patient care planning. This study investigates whether grey and white matter changes measured by magnetic resonance imaging can improve individual survival predictions.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We analyzed data from 178 patients with amyotrophic lateral sclerosis and 166 healthy controls in the Canadian Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis Neuroimaging Consortium study. A voxel-wise linear mixed-effects model assessed disease-related and survival-related atrophy detected through deformation-based morphometry, controlling for age, sex, and scanner variations. Additional linear mixed-effects models explored associations between regional imaging and clinical measurements, and their associations with time to the composite outcome of death, tracheostomy, or permanent assisted ventilation. We evaluated whether incorporating imaging features alongside clinical data could improve the performance of an individual survival distribution model.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Deformation-based morphometry uncovered distinct voxel-wise atrophy patterns linked to disease progression and survival, with many of these regional atrophies significantly associated with clinical manifestations of the disease. By integrating regional imaging features with clinical data, we observed a substantial enhancement in the performance of survival models across key metrics. Our analysis identified specific brain regions, such as the corpus callosum, rostral middle frontal gyrus, and thalamus, where atrophy predicted an increased risk of mortality.</p><p><strong>Interpretation: </strong>This study suggests that brain atrophy patterns measured by deformation-based morphometry provide valuable insights beyond clinical assessments for prognosis. It offers a more comprehensive approach to prognosis and highlights brain regions involved in disease progression and survival, potentially leading to a better understanding of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis. ANN NEUROL 2025.</p>","PeriodicalId":127,"journal":{"name":"Annals of Neurology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":8.1000,"publicationDate":"2025-02-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Annals of Neurology","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1002/ana.27196","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"CLINICAL NEUROLOGY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Objective: Accurate personalized survival prediction in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis is essential for effective patient care planning. This study investigates whether grey and white matter changes measured by magnetic resonance imaging can improve individual survival predictions.
Methods: We analyzed data from 178 patients with amyotrophic lateral sclerosis and 166 healthy controls in the Canadian Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis Neuroimaging Consortium study. A voxel-wise linear mixed-effects model assessed disease-related and survival-related atrophy detected through deformation-based morphometry, controlling for age, sex, and scanner variations. Additional linear mixed-effects models explored associations between regional imaging and clinical measurements, and their associations with time to the composite outcome of death, tracheostomy, or permanent assisted ventilation. We evaluated whether incorporating imaging features alongside clinical data could improve the performance of an individual survival distribution model.
Results: Deformation-based morphometry uncovered distinct voxel-wise atrophy patterns linked to disease progression and survival, with many of these regional atrophies significantly associated with clinical manifestations of the disease. By integrating regional imaging features with clinical data, we observed a substantial enhancement in the performance of survival models across key metrics. Our analysis identified specific brain regions, such as the corpus callosum, rostral middle frontal gyrus, and thalamus, where atrophy predicted an increased risk of mortality.
Interpretation: This study suggests that brain atrophy patterns measured by deformation-based morphometry provide valuable insights beyond clinical assessments for prognosis. It offers a more comprehensive approach to prognosis and highlights brain regions involved in disease progression and survival, potentially leading to a better understanding of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis. ANN NEUROL 2025.
期刊介绍：
Annals of Neurology publishes original articles with potential for high impact in understanding the pathogenesis, clinical and laboratory features, diagnosis, treatment, outcomes and science underlying diseases of the human nervous system. Articles should ideally be of broad interest to the academic neurological community rather than solely to subspecialists in a particular field. Studies involving experimental model system, including those in cell and organ cultures and animals, of direct translational relevance to the understanding of neurological disease are also encouraged.
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